Alkami Technology, Inc.

NasdaqGS:ALKT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.3b

Alkami Technology Valuation

Is ALKT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALKT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALKT ($23.56) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($25.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALKT is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALKT?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ALKT key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue8.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-38.4x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ALKT's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ALKT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.4x
JAMF Jamf Holding
4x11.0%US$2.3b
INTA Intapp
5.8x14.8%US$2.3b
PD PagerDuty
4.5x10.8%US$2.1b
ZETA Zeta Global Holdings
3.4x15.5%US$2.6b
ALKT Alkami Technology
8.7x20.8%US$2.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ALKT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.7x) compared to the peer average (4.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALKT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ALKT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.7x) compared to the US Software industry average (4.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALKT's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALKT PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio8.7x
Fair PS Ratio3.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ALKT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALKT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$23.56
US$28.70
+21.8%
5.8%US$31.00US$26.00n/a10
Apr ’25US$23.69
US$28.70
+21.1%
5.8%US$31.00US$26.00n/a10
Mar ’25US$24.80
US$28.70
+15.7%
5.8%US$31.00US$26.00n/a10
Feb ’25US$24.82
US$26.70
+7.6%
6.1%US$30.00US$25.00n/a10
Jan ’25US$24.25
US$23.80
-1.9%
7.2%US$27.00US$21.00n/a10
Dec ’24US$22.83
US$23.00
+0.7%
6.7%US$25.00US$21.00n/a10
Nov ’24US$17.60
US$20.90
+18.7%
7.2%US$23.00US$19.00n/a10
Oct ’24US$18.22
US$20.70
+13.6%
7.2%US$23.00US$19.00n/a10
Sep ’24US$18.17
US$20.70
+13.9%
7.2%US$23.00US$19.00n/a10
Aug ’24US$16.74
US$19.30
+15.3%
12.9%US$23.00US$15.00n/a10
Jul ’24US$16.39
US$18.44
+12.5%
16.2%US$23.00US$14.00n/a9
Jun ’24US$15.90
US$17.71
+11.4%
17.0%US$23.00US$14.00n/a7
May ’24US$11.86
US$18.67
+57.4%
17.9%US$23.00US$14.00n/a6
Apr ’24US$12.66
US$19.17
+51.4%
14.6%US$23.00US$15.00US$23.696
Mar ’24US$15.23
US$19.14
+25.7%
12.6%US$23.00US$16.00US$24.807
Feb ’24US$16.78
US$18.43
+9.8%
12.3%US$23.00US$16.00US$24.827
Jan ’24US$14.59
US$18.43
+26.3%
12.3%US$23.00US$16.00US$24.257
Dec ’23US$12.94
US$18.43
+42.4%
12.3%US$23.00US$16.00US$22.837
Nov ’23US$15.80
US$18.71
+18.4%
11.0%US$23.00US$16.00US$17.607
Oct ’23US$15.05
US$18.71
+24.3%
11.0%US$23.00US$16.00US$18.227
Sep ’23US$14.27
US$19.17
+34.3%
11.4%US$23.00US$16.00US$18.176
Aug ’23US$13.92
US$18.50
+32.9%
13.5%US$23.00US$15.00US$16.746
Jul ’23US$13.99
US$18.83
+34.6%
13.5%US$23.00US$15.00US$16.396
Jun ’23US$14.08
US$19.80
+40.6%
17.3%US$24.00US$15.00US$15.905
May ’23US$13.10
US$25.00
+90.8%
25.7%US$35.00US$17.00US$11.866
Apr ’23US$14.59
US$25.00
+71.4%
25.7%US$35.00US$17.00US$12.666

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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