Is Now The Time To Put Automatic Data Processing (NASDAQ:ADP) On Your Watchlist?

It's only natural that many investors, especially those who are new to the game, prefer to buy shares in 'sexy' stocks with a good story, even if those businesses lose money. But the reality is that when a company loses money each year, for long enough, its investors will usually take their share of those losses.

In the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, my choice may seem old fashioned; I still prefer profitable companies like Automatic Data Processing (NASDAQ:ADP). While that doesn't make the shares worth buying at any price, you can't deny that successful capitalism requires profit, eventually. Loss-making companies are always racing against time to reach financial sustainability, but time is often a friend of the profitable company, especially if it is growing.

See our latest analysis for Automatic Data Processing

Advertisement

How Fast Is Automatic Data Processing Growing?

As one of my mentors once told me, share price follows earnings per share (EPS). Therefore, there are plenty of investors who like to buy shares in companies that are growing EPS. Automatic Data Processing managed to grow EPS by 12% per year, over three years. That's a good rate of growth, if it can be sustained.

I like to take a look at earnings before interest and (EBIT) tax margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. I note that Automatic Data Processing's revenue from operations was lower than its revenue in the last twelve months, so that could distort my analysis of its margins. Automatic Data Processing maintained stable EBIT margins over the last year, all while growing revenue 5.5% to US$15b. That's progress.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings, and revenue, over time. For finer detail, click on the image.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqGS:ADP Earnings and Revenue History November 17th 2021

Of course the knack is to find stocks that have their best days in the future, not in the past. You could base your opinion on past performance, of course, but you may also want to check this interactive graph of professional analyst EPS forecasts for Automatic Data Processing.

Are Automatic Data Processing Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

We would not expect to see insiders owning a large percentage of a US$99b company like Automatic Data Processing. But we are reassured by the fact they have invested in the company. Notably, they have an enormous stake in the company, worth US$140m. I would find that kind of skin in the game quite encouraging, if I owned shares, since it would ensure that the leaders of the company would also experience my success, or failure, with the stock.

Is Automatic Data Processing Worth Keeping An Eye On?

One positive for Automatic Data Processing is that it is growing EPS. That's nice to see. Just as polish makes silverware pop, the high level of insider ownership enhances my enthusiasm for this growth. That combination appeals to me, for one. So yes, I do think the stock is worth keeping an eye on. We should say that we've discovered 1 warning sign for Automatic Data Processing that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, you can do well (sometimes) buying stocks that are not growing earnings and do not have insiders buying shares. But as a growth investor I always like to check out companies that do have those features. You can access a free list of them here.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

About NasdaqGS:ADP

Automatic Data Processing

Provides cloud-based human capital management (HCM) solutions worldwide.

Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

ST
stuart_roberts
UNCY logo
stuart_roberts on Unicycive Therapeutics ·

Looking to be second time lucky with a game-changing new product

Fair Value:US$21.5363.1% undervalued
130 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
18 users have liked this narrative
DE
Degen_GCR
P logo
Degen_GCR on Everpure ·

Second order memory play likely to double in a year

Fair Value:US$18051.5% undervalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative
DO
Double_Bubbler
LUNR logo
Double_Bubbler on Intuitive Machines ·

Intuitive Machines: To The Moon and Beyond!

Fair Value:US$42.323.4% undervalued
4 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative
YI
APP logo
yiannisz on AppLovin ·

AppLovin’s AI Engine Is Printing Profit

Fair Value:US$989.2451.6% undervalued
21 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

KA
kapirey
KAP logo
kapirey on National Atomic Company Kazatomprom JSC ·

Kazatomprom is uniquely positioned to capture structural upside

Fair Value:US$116.2330.9% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
KA
kapirey
IBM logo
kapirey on International Business Machines ·

IBM has transitioned from a traditional IT services provider into a hybrid cloud and AI platform leader

Fair Value:US$197.3613.3% overvalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
KA
kapirey
300750 logo
kapirey on Contemporary Amperex Technology ·

High-quality compounder with structural growth tailwinds

Fair Value:CN¥735.1341.3% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

GO
QS logo
GoldenSands on QuantumScape ·

QuantumScape: A Mispriced Deep‑Tech Inflection Point With Multi‑Billion‑Dollar Optionality

Fair Value:US$8590.6% undervalued
108 users have followed this narrative
2 users have commented on this narrative
31 users have liked this narrative
KI
NVDA logo
Kingman1152 on NVIDIA ·

NVIDIA will see a profit margin surge of 55% in the next 5 years

Fair Value:US$305.228.1% undervalued
70 users have followed this narrative
2 users have commented on this narrative
24 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
MSFT logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on Microsoft ·

Analyst Commentary Highlights Microsoft AI Momentum and Upward Valuation Amid Growth and Competitive Risks

Fair Value:US$561.9326.6% undervalued
1399 users have followed this narrative
2 users have commented on this narrative
12 users have liked this narrative