Stock Analysis

Wolfspeed (WOLF) Is Up 6.7% After $699 Million IRS Refund Eases Post‑Bankruptcy Strain

  • In early December 2025, Wolfspeed, Inc. reported receiving a US$698.6 million cash tax refund from the IRS under the Advanced Manufacturing Investment Credit, boosting liquidity as it ramps its 200mm silicon carbide manufacturing footprint and earmarks funds to retire about US$175 million of debt.
  • This refund is particularly important because Wolfspeed only recently emerged from Chapter 11 bankruptcy and continues to contend with ongoing cash burn and financial pressure while expanding into AI data centers, electric vehicles, aerospace, industrial, and energy markets.
  • We’ll now examine how this large tax refund, and its role in funding Wolfspeed’s 200mm silicon carbide expansion, shapes the company’s investment narrative.

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What Is Wolfspeed's Investment Narrative?

To own Wolfspeed today, you have to believe its silicon carbide roadmap, 200mm transition and exposure to EVs, AI data centers, industrial and energy markets can eventually turn years of large losses into a sustainable business. The new US$698.6 million AMIC tax refund is a real swing factor in that story: it lifts liquidity to about US$1.5 billion, buys more time to ramp the 200mm fabs and trims roughly US$175 million of debt, easing one of the most immediate balance sheet concerns flagged before this announcement. That said, it does not remove the core risks around continued cash burn, execution on new capacity, and an inexperienced leadership and board that only recently steered the company out of Chapter 11. Short term, the key catalysts remain factory ramp milestones, design wins and any signs that losses are narrowing.

However, investors also need to think hard about what happens if the cash burn continues longer than expected. The valuation report we've compiled suggests that Wolfspeed's current price could be inflated.

Exploring Other Perspectives

WOLF Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025
WOLF Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025

Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Wolfspeed - why the stock might be worth over 10x more than the current price!

Build Your Own Wolfspeed Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Wolfspeed might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

About NYSE:WOLF

Wolfspeed

A semiconductor company, focuses on silicon carbide and gallium nitride (GaN) technologies in Europe, Hong Kong, China, rest of Asia Pacific, the United States, and internationally.

Moderate growth potential with low risk.

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