Stock Analysis

These Analysts Just Made A Massive Downgrade To Their Power Integrations, Inc. (NASDAQ:POWI) EPS Forecasts

NasdaqGS:POWI
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Market forces rained on the parade of Power Integrations, Inc. (NASDAQ:POWI) shareholders today, when the analysts downgraded their forecasts for next year. Revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts were both revised downwards, with the analysts seeing grey clouds on the horizon.

Following the latest downgrade, the current consensus, from the six analysts covering Power Integrations, is for revenues of US$464m in 2024, which would reflect a measurable 3.3% reduction in Power Integrations' sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are supposed to tumble 25% to US$0.84 in the same period. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$598m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.93 in 2024. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Power Integrations' prospects, administering a pretty serious reduction to revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.

See our latest analysis for Power Integrations

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NasdaqGS:POWI Earnings and Revenue Growth November 12th 2023

The consensus price target fell 14% to US$76.60, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 2.7% by the end of 2024. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 10% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 16% per year. It's pretty clear that Power Integrations' revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Power Integrations' revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. Given the scope of the downgrades, it would not be a surprise to see the market become more wary of the business.

Still, the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Power Integrations analysts - going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Power Integrations is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.