Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Nova Ltd. (NASDAQ:NVMI) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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What Is Nova's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2022 Nova had US$195.8m of debt, an increase on US$180.9m, over one year. But it also has US$364.3m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$168.6m net cash.
How Strong Is Nova's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Nova had liabilities of US$116.1m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$262.9m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$364.3m and US$94.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has US$79.9m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This short term liquidity is a sign that Nova could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Nova boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
On top of that, Nova grew its EBIT by 81% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Nova's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Nova has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Nova recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 82% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Summing Up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Nova has net cash of US$168.6m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 82% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$100m. So we don't think Nova's use of debt is risky. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Nova, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:NVMI
Nova
Designs, develops, produces, and sells process control systems used in the manufacture of semiconductors in Israel, Taiwan, the United States, China, Korea, and internationally.
Outstanding track record with excellent balance sheet.
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