Nova Ltd.

NasdaqGS:NVMI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.7b

Nova Valuation

Is NVMI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NVMI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NVMI ($194.88) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($132.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NVMI is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NVMI?

Key metric: As NVMI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NVMI. This is calculated by dividing NVMI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NVMI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio33x
EarningsUS$171.35m
Market CapUS$5.71b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NVMI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NVMI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average60.7x
AMKR Amkor Technology
16.9x32.0%US$6.3b
CAMT Camtek
36.1x23.8%US$3.7b
ONTO Onto Innovation
45.2x30.2%US$8.4b
ENPH Enphase Energy
144.7x45.7%US$9.3b
NVMI Nova
33x15.4%US$5.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NVMI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33x) compared to the peer average (60.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NVMI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Semiconductor Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SQNS Sequans Communications
1.7x-156.5%US$70.73m
MMAT.Q Meta Materials
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
NVMI 33.0xIndustry Avg. 30.7xNo. of Companies11PE020406080100+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NVMI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33x) compared to the US Semiconductor industry average (30.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NVMI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NVMI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio33x
Fair PE Ratio24.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NVMI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NVMI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$194.88
US$243.20
+24.8%
3.7%US$250.00US$226.00n/a5
Dec ’25US$183.76
US$243.20
+32.3%
3.7%US$250.00US$226.00n/a5
Nov ’25US$184.99
US$239.80
+29.6%
4.1%US$250.00US$224.00n/a5
Oct ’25US$197.88
US$242.80
+22.7%
4.2%US$250.00US$224.00n/a5
Sep ’25US$223.55
US$256.60
+14.8%
5.0%US$273.00US$240.00n/a5
Aug ’25US$189.23
US$242.60
+28.2%
10.4%US$273.00US$215.00n/a5
Jul ’25US$232.85
US$227.60
-2.3%
5.5%US$245.00US$215.00n/a5
Jun ’25US$208.65
US$222.60
+6.7%
4.1%US$240.00US$215.00n/a5
May ’25US$167.34
US$195.75
+17.0%
4.5%US$210.00US$187.00n/a4
Apr ’25US$178.10
US$193.25
+8.5%
2.6%US$200.00US$187.00n/a4
Mar ’25US$183.66
US$193.25
+5.2%
2.6%US$200.00US$187.00n/a4
Feb ’25US$144.99
US$147.50
+1.7%
5.6%US$160.00US$140.00n/a4
Jan ’25US$137.39
US$147.50
+7.4%
5.6%US$160.00US$140.00n/a4
Dec ’24US$128.08
US$138.75
+8.3%
6.4%US$150.00US$125.00US$183.764
Nov ’24US$97.36
US$137.50
+41.2%
1.8%US$140.00US$135.00US$184.994
Oct ’24US$112.44
US$137.50
+22.3%
1.8%US$140.00US$135.00US$197.884
Sep ’24US$127.76
US$137.50
+7.6%
1.8%US$140.00US$135.00US$223.554
Aug ’24US$126.37
US$122.75
-2.9%
8.3%US$132.00US$106.00US$189.234
Jul ’24US$117.30
US$118.50
+1.0%
7.6%US$130.00US$106.00US$232.854
Jun ’24US$110.93
US$116.80
+5.3%
7.5%US$130.00US$106.00US$208.655
May ’24US$90.74
US$112.20
+23.6%
5.6%US$123.00US$106.00US$167.345
Apr ’24US$104.47
US$111.50
+6.7%
6.1%US$123.00US$106.00US$178.104
Mar ’24US$91.57
US$111.50
+21.8%
6.1%US$123.00US$106.00US$183.664
Feb ’24US$95.01
US$105.00
+10.5%
11.4%US$123.00US$90.00US$144.994
Jan ’24US$81.68
US$105.00
+28.6%
11.4%US$123.00US$90.00US$137.394
Dec ’23US$86.56
US$105.00
+21.3%
11.4%US$123.00US$90.00US$128.084

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 22:33
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Nova Ltd. is covered by 14 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mark MillerBenchmark Company
Vivek AryaBofA Global Research
Jonathan DorsheimerCanaccord Genuity