Nova Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 5/6
Nova has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 25.8%, while the Semiconductor industry saw earnings growing at 0.9% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 18.7% per year. Nova's return on equity is 19.7%, and it has net margins of 29.4%.
Key information
25.76%
Earnings growth rate
24.78%
EPS growth rate
| Semiconductor Industry Growth | 27.66% |
| Revenue growth rate | 18.72% |
| Return on equity | 19.66% |
| Net Margin | 29.44% |
| Next Earnings Update | 14 May 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 25
NVMI: Metrology Intensity And WFE Cycles Will Shape Future Free Cash Flow
Analysts have lifted their average price target for Nova to around the high $400s, citing multiple avenues of growth in metrology tools across both front and back-end wafer fab equipment as a key support for this shift. Analyst Commentary Recent research notes highlight a generally constructive stance on Nova, with price targets clustered in the mid to high US$400s and a focus on how the company executes against growing metrology needs across wafer fabrication.Narrative Update • Apr 07
NVMI: Metrology Intensity And WFE Spend Will Support Future Free Cash Flow
Nova's analyst price targets have moved higher, with several firms lifting their views into the $450 to $465 range as analysts point to multiple growth avenues in metrology and broader wafer fab equipment spending. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity around Nova clusters around two main themes: growth tied to more metrology-intensive chipmaking, and how fully that growth is already reflected in the share price.Seeking Alpha • Apr 02
Nova Ltd.: A Stretched Valuation Amid An Unpriced Geopolitical Storm
Summary Nova Ltd. is a leading metrology equipment provider, benefiting from AI-driven semiconductor demand and strong adoption of its Metrion platform. FY2025 revenue grew 31% YoY, with advanced packaging up 60%, but shares now trade at a premium 43x forward P/E, limiting near-term upside. Management guides for continued growth into 2026-2027, driven by GAA adoption, HBM demand, and advanced packaging, but geopolitical and operational risks loom. We rate NVMI a Hold, as current valuation reflects much of the upside; Q2 2026 results and geopolitical developments are key monitoring points. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Mar 24
NVMI: Metrology Intensity And Wafer Fab Spending Will Shape Future Free Cash Flow
Nova's updated analyst price target has edged down by about $5 to $497.25, as analysts factor in slightly refined assumptions on fair value, discount rate, and future P/E, while still highlighting the company’s multiple avenues of growth in metrology across both front and back-end wafer fab equipment spending. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Nova points to a generally constructive setup, with analysts focusing on how the business lines up with wafer fab equipment spending, execution history, and the balance between upside potential and execution risk.Narrative Update • Mar 07
NVMI: Multi Year Metrology Demand Visibility Will Shape Future Free Cash Flow
NOVA’s analyst price target has moved higher into the low $450s, with firms citing in-line earnings, steady wafer fab equipment guidance and improving multi-year demand visibility as key reasons for the reset. Analyst Commentary Recent research reflects a cluster of higher price targets for Nova into the low US$450 range, with analysts largely focused on execution against wafer fab equipment trends and the durability of multi-year demand.Narrative Update • Feb 19
NVMI: Multi Year Metrology Demand And Execution Risks Will Shape Future Free Cash Flow
Analysts have raised their implied fair value estimate for Nova by about $108 to approximately $502 per share, citing updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple that is supported by a wave of recent price target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has clustered around higher price targets for Nova, with several firms lifting their valuation ranges and reiterating generally neutral to positive stances on the stock.Narrative Update • Feb 05
NVMI: Stronger Demand Visibility And Diversified Customers Will Support Future Free Cash Flow
Analysts have raised their price target on Nova to $450 from $380, citing stronger multi year demand visibility, broader customer diversification, and the potential for higher free cash flow generation as key supports for the higher valuation range. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a more constructive stance on Nova, with the new US$450 price target framed around what bullish analysts see as clearer demand trends, a broader customer mix, and the potential for stronger free cash flow over the next cycle.
New Narrative • Feb 04
Advanced Packaging And AI Metrology Demand Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook
Catalysts About Nova Nova supplies process control and metrology tools that help semiconductor manufacturers improve yields in advanced logic, memory and packaging. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Jan 21
NVMI: Rising Multi Year Demand Expectations Will Likely Outrun Fundamentals
Narrative Update on Nova Analysts have raised their price target on Nova to $450 from $380, citing expectations of stronger multi-year demand, improving visibility, broader customer exposure and the potential for higher free cash flow in an upturn. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see the higher price target as a reflection of what they view as improving fundamentals around demand visibility, customer mix and potential cash generation, all of which they factor into their updated valuation work.Narrative Update • Jan 06
NVMI: DRAM And AI Momentum Will Face Elevated 2026 WFE Expectations
Narrative Update on Nova The updated analyst price target for Nova moves from about $361 to roughly $369, as analysts factor in a slightly higher profit margin outlook, a modestly lower future P/E, and feedback from recent industry meetings that point to improving DRAM fab investment and AI computing positioning, while also flagging that 2026 WFE expectations already look high. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Nova centers on higher long term expectations for its role in DRAM and AI related spend, balanced against concerns that wafer fab equipment, or WFE, forecasts for 2026 may already be demanding.Narrative Update • Dec 15
NVMI: Rising DRAM Fab Spending Will Strengthen Future AI Computing Position
Analysts have raised their price target on Nova to $390 from $300, citing improved visibility into DRAM fab investment, stronger positioning in AI computing, and slightly better long-term profitability despite modestly lower growth and a marginally higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Nova highlight a constructive outlook on the company’s positioning in memory and AI end markets, while also flagging areas of execution and cycle risk that could influence how the new valuation framework plays out.Narrative Update • Dec 01
NVMI: Increased DRAM Fab Spending Will Strengthen Upcoming AI Market Position
Nova's analyst price target has been raised from $300 to $390. This change reflects an improved outlook and increased optimism among analysts following recent industry discussions and signs of stronger demand in the AI and DRAM sectors.Narrative Update • Nov 17
NVMI: DRAM Investment Momentum Will Drive AI Market Leadership Ahead
Analysts have raised Nova's fair value estimate from $321.67 to $365.83, citing improved outlooks for DRAM investment as well as stronger positioning in AI computing technologies. Analyst Commentary Recent street research highlights notable shifts in sentiment toward Nova, with optimism focused on its enhanced position in the AI computing market and a more promising environment for DRAM investment.Analysis Article • Nov 04
Returns On Capital Are A Standout For Nova (NASDAQ:NVMI)
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Amongst other things, we'll want...Narrative Update • Nov 02
NVMI: DRAM Fab Investment Trends And AI Demand Will Shape Future Performance
Analysts have raised their price target for Nova from $300 to $390, citing optimism due to improved trends in DRAM fab investment and stronger positioning in AI computing following recent industry discussions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have identified several factors supporting Nova's upward price target revision and positive growth outlook.Narrative Update • Oct 18
Global Digitization Trends Will Fuel Advanced Metrology Adoption
Narrative Update: Nova Price Target Revision Analysts have raised Nova's fair value estimate from $306.67 to $321.67, citing improved near-term demand in semiconductor markets and stronger positioning in AI computing as key drivers of the higher outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from Street research highlight both supportive and cautious perspectives regarding Nova's latest price target revision.Narrative Update • Oct 04
Global Digitization Trends Will Fuel Advanced Metrology Adoption
Nova's fair value price target has been raised by analysts from $298.33 to $306.67. This change reflects updated expectations on company performance and refined market assumptions.Analysis Article • Oct 02
Nova Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:NVMI) Shares Climb 26% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up
Nova Ltd. ( NASDAQ:NVMI ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a...Narrative Update • Aug 08
Global Digitization Trends Will Fuel Advanced Metrology Adoption
Driven by stronger adoption of materials metrology solutions, increased leading-edge WFE demand, and ongoing market share gains, Nova’s consensus analyst price target has been raised from $274 to $290. Analyst Commentary Leverage to leading-edge technology driving upside potential Increased adoption of Materials Metrology solutions Strong wafer fab equipment (WFE) demand, particularly in leading-edge segments Ongoing market share gains in dimensional and chemicals segments Greenfield expansion supporting growth in Materials Metrology What's in the News Nova Ltd.Analysis Article • Aug 04
These 4 Measures Indicate That Nova (NASDAQ:NVMI) Is Using Debt Safely
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Jun 18
Nova Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:NVMI) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may...Analysis Article • May 19
Nova (NASDAQ:NVMI) Could Become A Multi-Bagger
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? In a...Seeking Alpha • Nov 19
Nova: A New Trend May Have Presented Itself
Summary The latest report came in strong, as did guidance, but the stock could not break out of the downward spiral it seems to be in. The charts suggest the stock may be able to find support that could power a turnaround given the past, but the stock would need to move lower first. Nova has a shot at a strong FY2025 in terms of the top and the bottom line, but there is some uncertainty associated with this outlook. Long Nova has its strengths, but one cannot set aside the way the stock has been going down, something likely to continue in the short term. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 08
Nova: The Correlation With The Leading AI Play Is Starting To Weigh Heavy
Summary Nova has seen its stock do lately what it has not done much of for a long time, which is to go down instead of going up. The struggles in the stock come at a time when Nova is arguably doing better than ever in terms of growing the top and the bottom line. There are several issues that seem to be weighing on the stock, but one seems to stand out if the charts are any indication. Long Nova has its merits, but the stock has not struggled for no reason, especially with the root causes still around. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Aug 28
Tactical Innovations And Global Demand Drive Exceptional Growth In Semiconductor Space
Nova's diverse involvement in cutting-edge technologies and global markets positions it for accelerated revenue growth amid rising demand for advanced tech.Seeking Alpha • Jun 20
Nova: Continued Excellence Driving Share Gains
Summary Nova is a top mid cap growth stock in the semiconductor equipment industry, with stock appreciation of 77% to date in 2024. Strong Q2 guidance with revenue growth, high margins, and growing services business, positioning Nova for continued success. Increased complexity in semiconductor applications driving higher metrology usage, with Nova investing in R&D and potential acquisitions for growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Nova makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 25 | 881 | 259 | 107 | 143 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 853 | 245 | 102 | 136 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 807 | 235 | 99 | 129 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 744 | 212 | 94 | 119 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 672 | 184 | 88 | 110 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 612 | 171 | 85 | 101 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 562 | 154 | 78 | 93 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 528 | 139 | 76 | 90 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 518 | 136 | 73 | 88 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 535 | 134 | 70 | 93 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 550 | 136 | 72 | 95 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 569 | 141 | 77 | 94 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 571 | 140 | 77 | 90 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 541 | 126 | 73 | 84 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 510 | 122 | 68 | 77 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 466 | 110 | 63 | 70 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 416 | 93 | 57 | 66 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 371 | 85 | 48 | 61 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 328 | 68 | 46 | 59 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 293 | 54 | 46 | 56 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 269 | 48 | 43 | 53 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 258 | 47 | 43 | 47 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 241 | 41 | 40 | 45 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 229 | 39 | 39 | 44 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 225 | 35 | 38 | 45 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 223 | 38 | 39 | 45 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 234 | 43 | 38 | 47 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 245 | 48 | 39 | 47 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 251 | 54 | 37 | 45 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 245 | 47 | 36 | 46 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 236 | 46 | 35 | 44 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 230 | 47 | 33 | 41 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 222 | 46 | 33 | 39 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 215 | 47 | 32 | 38 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 205 | 30 | 31 | 37 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 184 | 20 | 29 | 36 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 164 | 10 | 28 | 35 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 154 | 6 | 26 | 37 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 150 | 17 | 25 | 38 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 155 | 16 | 25 | 41 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 149 | 16 | 22 | 40 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 134 | 14 | 19 | 37 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 121 | 12 | 18 | 33 |
Quality Earnings: NVMI has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: NVMI's current net profit margins (29.4%) are higher than last year (27.3%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: NVMI's earnings have grown significantly by 25.8% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: NVMI's earnings growth over the past year (41.1%) exceeds its 5-year average (25.8% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: NVMI earnings growth over the past year (41.1%) exceeded the Semiconductor industry 10.6%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: NVMI's Return on Equity (19.7%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/11 17:40 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/08 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Nova Ltd. is covered by 13 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Thomas O'Malley | Barclays |
| Michael Mani | BofA Global Research |
| Jonathan Dorsheimer | Canaccord Genuity |