Stock Analysis

Lattice Semiconductor Corporation's (NASDAQ:LSCC) Shares Climb 27% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

NasdaqGS:LSCC
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Those holding Lattice Semiconductor Corporation (NASDAQ:LSCC) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 33% in the last twelve months.

After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider Lattice Semiconductor as a stock to avoid entirely with its 38.5x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Lattice Semiconductor has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Lattice Semiconductor

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:LSCC Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 6th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Lattice Semiconductor will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Growth For Lattice Semiconductor?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Lattice Semiconductor would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.4%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 171% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 4.0% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 10% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we find it concerning that Lattice Semiconductor is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Lattice Semiconductor's P/E?

Shares in Lattice Semiconductor have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Lattice Semiconductor currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Lattice Semiconductor with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Lattice Semiconductor. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.