Amtech Systems, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ASYS) Shares Bounce 59% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry
Amtech Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:ASYS) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 59% after a shaky period beforehand. The last month tops off a massive increase of 110% in the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Amtech Systems may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Semiconductor industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 5.4x and even P/S higher than 12x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Amtech Systems
How Amtech Systems Has Been Performing
Amtech Systems could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Amtech Systems will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Amtech Systems' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 22%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 25% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 9.6% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 43%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this in consideration, its clear as to why Amtech Systems' P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Amtech Systems have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Amtech Systems maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Amtech Systems (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.