Stock Analysis

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

NasdaqGS:AMD
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 11.4x Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Semiconductor companies in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.3x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Advanced Micro Devices

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:AMD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 25th 2024

How Has Advanced Micro Devices Performed Recently?

Advanced Micro Devices could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the market is expecting the poor revenue to reverse, justifying it's current high P/S.. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Advanced Micro Devices' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Advanced Micro Devices?

Advanced Micro Devices' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.2%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 100% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 21% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 27% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's alarming that Advanced Micro Devices' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Advanced Micro Devices' P/S?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Advanced Micro Devices, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Advanced Micro Devices with six simple checks.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.