Williams-Sonoma Valuation

Is WSM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WSM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WSM ($129.47) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($209.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WSM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WSM?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

WSM key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.5x
PEG Ratio13.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WSM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WSM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average59.7x
RH RH
173.3x72.6%US$6.1b
ARHS Arhaus
14.5x10.3%US$1.3b
DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods
14x3.8%US$16.1b
BURL Burlington Stores
37.1x17.8%US$15.9b
WSM Williams-Sonoma
15.1x1.1%US$17.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WSM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the peer average (59.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WSM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WSM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (14.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WSM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WSM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.1x
Fair PE Ratio16.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WSM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WSM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$129.47
US$143.86
+11.1%
9.9%US$165.12US$116.00n/a20
Oct ’25US$151.04
US$143.00
-5.3%
9.5%US$165.00US$116.00n/a19
Sep ’25US$134.33
US$141.30
+5.2%
8.2%US$165.00US$116.00n/a19
Aug ’25US$144.94
US$149.88
+3.4%
10.4%US$175.00US$116.00n/a19
Jul ’25US$138.45
US$149.24
+7.8%
10.4%US$175.00US$116.00n/a19
Jun ’25US$146.61
US$147.87
+0.9%
10.6%US$175.00US$116.00n/a19
May ’25US$141.81
US$143.35
+1.1%
11.4%US$170.00US$110.00n/a20
Apr ’25US$157.47
US$142.85
-9.3%
11.2%US$170.00US$110.00n/a20
Mar ’25US$118.32
US$95.06
-19.7%
18.4%US$130.00US$70.00n/a20
Feb ’25US$98.49
US$90.86
-7.7%
16.3%US$120.00US$70.00n/a20
Jan ’25US$100.89
US$87.24
-13.5%
13.3%US$107.50US$70.00n/a20
Dec ’24US$97.93
US$85.56
-12.6%
11.4%US$102.50US$70.00n/a20
Nov ’24US$74.77
US$75.81
+1.4%
15.5%US$101.00US$55.00US$132.2020
Oct ’24US$77.70
US$73.21
-5.8%
14.8%US$101.00US$55.00US$151.0420
Sep ’24US$72.25
US$72.68
+0.6%
14.8%US$101.00US$55.00US$134.3320
Aug ’24US$69.23
US$64.55
-6.8%
20.7%US$104.50US$47.50US$144.9420
Jul ’24US$62.57
US$64.58
+3.2%
20.4%US$104.50US$47.50US$138.4520
Jun ’24US$56.97
US$63.91
+12.2%
20.6%US$104.50US$47.50US$146.6120
May ’24US$59.28
US$64.96
+9.6%
20.1%US$105.50US$49.00US$141.8120
Apr ’24US$60.83
US$65.09
+7.0%
20.0%US$105.50US$49.00US$157.4720
Mar ’24US$61.76
US$67.29
+9.0%
24.8%US$116.50US$49.00US$118.3219
Feb ’24US$69.73
US$66.53
-4.6%
25.2%US$116.50US$49.00US$98.4919
Jan ’24US$57.46
US$66.74
+16.1%
25.2%US$116.50US$49.00US$100.8919
Dec ’23US$58.36
US$67.16
+15.1%
24.6%US$116.50US$50.00US$97.9319
Nov ’23US$62.40
US$81.16
+30.1%
21.2%US$120.50US$50.00US$74.7719

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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