Williams-Sonoma, Inc.

NYSE:WSM Stock Report

Market Cap: US$22.0b

Williams-Sonoma Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Williams-Sonoma is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 4.3% and 4.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 7.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 54.9% in 3 years.

Key information

4.3%

Earnings growth rate

7.20%

EPS growth rate

Specialty Retail earnings growth9.8%
Revenue growth rate4.3%
Future return on equity54.87%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated28 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • May 02

WSM: Holiday Execution And FY26 Margin Guidance Will Support Earnings Power

Analysts kept the fair value estimate for Williams-Sonoma steady at $230, while modestly adjusting assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following a series of recent price target changes. These included raises from Evercore ISI, Barclays, RBC Capital, and UBS, alongside trims from TD Cowen and Baird.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 21

Williams-Sonoma: Valuation And Macroeconomic Risks Outweigh Fundamental Soundness

Summary Williams-Sonoma remains fundamentally resilient despite macroeconomic headwinds, but I maintain a 'Hold' rating due to full valuation. WSM's Q4 2025 revenue declined 4.2% YoY, marking its first negative growth in five quarters, yet margins remain robust at 20.3%. Risks include persistent inflation, tariff impacts, Middle East tensions, and ongoing US housing market weakness, though the company's strong brand and zero debt provide buffers. Technicals show bullish rebound attempts, but caution is warranted as bearish divergence and overbought signals limit near-term upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Apr 18

WSM: Holiday Execution And Margin Outlook Will Support FY26 Earnings Power

Analysts nudged their average price target for Williams-Sonoma higher by $10, citing recent target increases from several firms and ongoing debate around margins, the Q4 earnings setup, and valuation, which is reflected in modest tweaks to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Williams-Sonoma highlights a mix of higher and lower price targets, along with a few upgrades, as analysts reassess how earnings quality, margin durability, and valuation interact heading into the Q4 report and beyond.
Narrative Update • Apr 03

WSM: Holiday Execution And Margin Focus Will Support FY26 Earnings Power

Analysts have slightly lifted their average price target on Williams-Sonoma, with changes including moves such as TD Cowen raising its target by $35, Citi taking its target to $208, and UBS to $185, while others trimmed or reset targets as they reassessed Q4 earnings expectations and longer term margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Williams-Sonoma has centered on Q4 earnings, FY26 margin assumptions, and how these feed into valuation.
Narrative Update • Mar 20

WSM: Holiday Execution And Margin Focus Will Support Future Upside

The analyst price target for Williams-Sonoma is updated to $230 from $250, reflecting mixed recent Street research in which several firms raised targets while others trimmed theirs. Analysts now reference modestly higher revenue growth assumptions, slightly lower profit margin expectations, and a reduced future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update • Mar 05

WSM: Elevated P/E And Execution Risks Will Restrain Future Upside

Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for Williams-Sonoma edges slightly lower to about $153 from roughly $155, as analysts factor in modestly different assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following a series of recent upgrades and target raises across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Williams-Sonoma has centered on recalibrating price targets and ratings as analysts reassess the balance between valuation, growth expectations, and execution risk.
Narrative Update • Feb 19

WSM: Higher Price Expectations And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

The analyst price target for Williams-Sonoma has been adjusted from $245 to $250, with analysts attributing the change to updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly lower discount rate following recent sector research and company-specific commentary. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the latest US$5 upward move in the price target as part of a broader reset in expectations around Williams-Sonoma, with recent sector work and company commentary feeding into refreshed models for revenue, margins, and discount rates.
Narrative Update • Feb 05

WSM: Elevated P E And Mixed Q3 Reactions Will Constrain Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Williams-Sonoma higher to about $155 from roughly $142, citing updated forecasts for revenue growth, profitability and future P/E multiples supported by recent target changes, upgrades and trade commentary on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Williams-Sonoma has been mixed, with some firms lifting price targets, while others have trimmed their expectations following the latest quarterly update.
Narrative Update • Jan 21

WSM: Premium P/E And Ongoing Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

Narrative Update on Williams-Sonoma The analyst price target for Williams-Sonoma has moved from $230 to $245, reflecting updated assumptions around slightly higher modeled revenue growth, a modestly lower discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple that analysts link to recent Street research, including revised targets from firms updating their views after the Q3 report. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Williams-Sonoma centers on how the Q3 report affected earnings models and valuation views, with price targets moving in both directions as analysts reassessed their assumptions.
Narrative Update • Jan 06

WSM: Share Repurchases And Premium P/E Will Support Future Upside

Narrative update overview Our fair value estimate for Williams-Sonoma moves from US$215 to US$230. This reflects analysts' updated post Q3 assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, even as recent Street targets from UBS and Citi reset lower and point to a richer valuation history.
Narrative Update • Dec 23

WSM: Future Performance Will Test Premium Multiples And Ongoing Buyback Support

Narrative Update: Williams-Sonoma Analyst Price Target Revision The analyst-derived fair value estimate for Williams-Sonoma has inched higher to about $199 from roughly $198, even as analysts trim official price targets into the mid-to-high $100s after Q3 results and as they highlight still-elevated valuation versus history. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts acknowledge that the stock has pulled back following the Q3 print, but they still see Williams-Sonoma as executing well against its strategic initiatives, sustaining solid profitability and maintaining a balance sheet that supports ongoing shareholder returns.
Narrative Update • Dec 09

WSM: Future Execution Will Balance Elevated Multiples And Share Repurchase Support

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Williams-Sonoma, with reductions such as to $175 and $188 per share. These changes reflect updated post Q3 models and lingering concerns that the stock's valuation remains elevated versus its historical range.
Narrative Update • Nov 24

WSM: Future Sales Momentum Will Drive Market Share Gains Despite Margin Uncertainties

Williams-Sonoma's analyst price target was lowered slightly from $204.32 to $198.21. Analysts cite a mix of improving sales and cautious margin outlooks as factors driving tempered expectations.
Narrative Update • Aug 27

Collaborations With Monique Lhuillier And Stanley Tucci Will Attract New Consumers

Williams-Sonoma’s analyst price target has been raised to $194.16, reflecting stronger-than-expected transactions, upward revisions to comp sales and EPS, and positive peer trends, as the company tracks toward the high end of 2025 guidance. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are raising price targets due to stronger-than-expected transaction data.
Analysis Article • Aug 06

At US$204, Is Williams-Sonoma, Inc. (NYSE:WSM) Worth Looking At Closely?

NYSE:WSM 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Williams-Sonoma's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...
Analysis Article • Jul 22

The Trend Of High Returns At Williams-Sonoma (NYSE:WSM) Has Us Very Interested

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
Seeking Alpha • Mar 19

Willams-Sonoma: Retail A Bit Rough, But This Correction Is Opportunity

Summary Williams-Sonoma's recent correction to the $150s presents a buying opportunity, supported by strong Q4 earnings and revenue beats. Neutral rating above that level. Q4 saw a 7.9% sales increase to $2.46 billion, with positive comparable sales across most segments, notably West Elm and Williams-Sonoma brand. Gross margin improved to 47.3%, driven by higher merchandise margins and supply chain efficiencies, indicating strong operational performance. Despite conservative guidance and minimal sales growth, robust margins, dividend increase, and significant share repurchases make Williams-Sonoma a compelling buy on weakness. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 26

Williams-Sonoma: Margin Expansion Should Be Minimal From Here On Out

Summary Williams-Sonoma's margin expansion has likely peaked, with limited room for further improvement and stagnant revenue growth, making the current stock valuation unsustainable. Despite strong Q3’24 results driven by improved profitability, future EPS growth is expected to be minimal, questioning the sustainability of the 25x forward P/E multiple. The company’s focus on buybacks may slow down due to high share prices, and macroeconomic risks like tariffs and potential recession pose significant threats. Given the mature business profile and overvaluation, I rate Williams-Sonoma shares a 'sell' as future growth prospects are muted. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 26

Williams-Sonoma: Valuation Is Now Much More Expensive

Summary I reiterate my hold rating on Williams-Sonoma due to its elevated 22x forward PE multiple, which, I believe, is unsustainable in the long term. Positive macro developments, including interest rate cuts and improved consumer spending, support WSM’s top-line growth outlook. Despite solid margin expansion in 3Q24, future margin outlook is uncertain due to potential input cost increases and higher marketing expenses. If WSM's valuation re-rates to pre-COVID levels, the downside could be substantial, making the current premium multiple risky. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:WSM - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
1/31/20298,9611,2531,4761,5387
1/31/20288,5291,1741,3271,51017
1/31/20278,1511,1051,1381,40819
2/1/20267,8071,0881,0551,315N/A
11/2/20257,9121,1311,1061,351N/A
8/3/20257,8301,1271,0281,289N/A
5/4/20257,7811,0961,0121,252N/A
2/2/20257,7121,1251,1391,360N/A
10/27/20247,5281,0691,1941,402N/A
7/28/20247,5811,0691,2721,439N/A
4/28/20247,6561,0541,3871,565N/A
1/28/20247,7519501,4921,680N/A
10/29/20237,9259501,2151,470N/A
7/30/20238,2649651,0861,384N/A
4/30/20238,5391,0308781,211N/A
1/29/20238,6741,1286991,053N/A
10/30/20228,7221,1768511,171N/A
7/31/20228,5771,1749821,279N/A
5/1/20228,3881,1531,0611,317N/A
1/30/20228,2461,1261,1451,371N/A
10/31/20218,0381,0321,1511,337N/A
8/1/20217,7559851,3621,534N/A
5/2/20217,2978731,2901,460N/A
1/31/20216,7836811,1051,275N/A
11/1/20206,3345381,0541,244N/A
8/2/20206,012411665850N/A
5/3/20205,892339567759N/A
2/2/20205,898356421607N/A
11/3/20195,891345N/A496N/A
8/4/20195,805352N/A439N/A
5/5/20195,710341N/A477N/A
2/3/20195,672334N/A586N/A
10/28/20185,515274N/A566N/A
7/29/20185,457264N/A585N/A
4/29/20185,384265N/A557N/A
1/28/20185,292260N/A500N/A
10/29/20175,194308N/A515N/A
7/30/20175,140306N/A526N/A
4/30/20175,098305N/A551N/A
1/29/20175,084305N/A525N/A
10/30/20165,089302N/A573N/A
7/31/20165,075303N/A541N/A
5/1/20165,043305N/A538N/A
1/31/20164,976310N/A544N/A
11/1/20154,932316N/A433N/A
8/2/20154,843310N/A488N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: WSM's forecast earnings growth (4.3% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: WSM's earnings (4.3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: WSM's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: WSM's revenue (4.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: WSM's revenue (4.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: WSM's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (54.9%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/07 06:57
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/07 00:00
Earnings2026/02/01
Annual Earnings2026/02/01

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Williams-Sonoma, Inc. is covered by 47 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christopher GrajaArgus Research Company
Peter BenedictBaird
Michael LasserBarclays