Stock Analysis

LightInTheBox Holding Co., Ltd.'s (NYSE:LITB) 37% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues

NYSE:LITB
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LightInTheBox Holding Co., Ltd. (NYSE:LITB) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 37% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 66% loss during that time.

After such a large drop in price, LightInTheBox Holding may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Multiline Retail industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 0.9x and even P/S higher than 3x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for LightInTheBox Holding

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:LITB Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 27th 2024

What Does LightInTheBox Holding's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that LightInTheBox Holding's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. Those who are bullish on LightInTheBox Holding will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on LightInTheBox Holding will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, LightInTheBox Holding would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 30%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 7.8% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 14% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that LightInTheBox Holding is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From LightInTheBox Holding's P/S?

LightInTheBox Holding's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of LightInTheBox Holding revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for LightInTheBox Holding (2 are potentially serious!) that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of LightInTheBox Holding's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.