Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Kohl's Corporation's (NYSE:KSS) Muted Revenues

NYSE:KSS
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Kohl's Corporation's (NYSE:KSS) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Multiline Retail industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 0.9x and even P/S above 3x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Kohl's

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:KSS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 8th 2024

How Has Kohl's Performed Recently?

Kohl's hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Kohl's' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Kohl's' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Kohl's' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 3.4%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 9.5% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 4.4% during the coming year according to the analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 14%.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Kohl's' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What Does Kohl's' P/S Mean For Investors?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

It's clear to see that Kohl's maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Kohl's' poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Kohl's (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Kohl's is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.