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There Is A Reason Group 1 Automotive, Inc.'s (NYSE:GPI) Price Is Undemanding
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 20x, you may consider Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (NYSE:GPI) as an attractive investment with its 11x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Group 1 Automotive's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for Group 1 Automotive
Keen to find out how analysts think Group 1 Automotive's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Group 1 Automotive's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 18% decrease to the company's bottom line. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 23% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 7.5% each year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 11% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Group 1 Automotive is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Group 1 Automotive's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Group 1 Automotive you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Group 1 Automotive. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:GPI
Group 1 Automotive
Through its subsidiaries, operates in the automotive retail industry in the United States and the United Kingdom.