Designer Brands Inc. (NYSE:DBI) will pay a dividend of $0.05 on the 20th of December. This means the annual payment is 4.0% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Designer Brands
Designer Brands' Long-term Dividend Outlook appears Promising
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Despite not generating a profit, Designer Brands is still paying a dividend. It is also not generating any free cash flow, we definitely have concerns when it comes to the sustainability of the dividend.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise exponentially over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio will be 20%, which makes us pretty comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from an annual total of $0.75 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of $0.20. This works out to a decline of approximately 73% over that time. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.
The Company Could Face Some Challenges Growing The Dividend
Given that the track record hasn't been stellar, we really want to see earnings per share growing over time. Designer Brands has impressed us by growing EPS at 36% per year over the past five years. While the company is not yet turning a profit, it is growing at a good rate. If the company can turn a profit relatively soon, we can see this becoming a reliable income stock.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. In general, the distributions are a little bit higher than we would like, but we can't ignore the fact the quickly growing earnings gives this stock great potential in the future. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. To that end, Designer Brands has 3 warning signs (and 2 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:DBI
Designer Brands
Engages in the design, production, and retailing of footwear and accessories for women, men, and kids primarily in the United States and Canada.
Fair value with moderate growth potential.