We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Burlington Stores Valuation

Is BURL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BURL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BURL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA30.5x
PEG Ratio2.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BURL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BURL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average37.6x
ROST Ross Stores
28.7x11.6%US$41.1b
GPS Gap
87.6x58.0%US$4.8b
FL Foot Locker
9.6x4.3%US$4.1b
AEO American Eagle Outfitters
24.3x32.4%US$2.9b
BURL Burlington Stores
88x30.4%US$14.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BURL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (88x) compared to the peer average (37.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BURL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.4%
n/an/an/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BURL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (88x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (9.1x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BURL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BURL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio88x
Fair PE Ratio24.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BURL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (88x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.4x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BURL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BURL ($226.38) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($167.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BURL is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BURL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$226.38
US$221.37
-2.2%
10.7%US$281.00US$177.00n/a19
Jan ’24US$202.76
US$207.74
+2.5%
13.9%US$240.00US$105.00n/a19
Dec ’23US$194.61
US$206.42
+6.1%
13.8%US$240.00US$105.00n/a19
Nov ’23US$140.11
US$173.28
+23.7%
14.2%US$200.00US$100.00n/a18
Oct ’23US$111.89
US$174.28
+55.8%
12.8%US$200.00US$110.00n/a18
Sep ’23US$143.81
US$174.11
+21.1%
14.2%US$219.00US$110.00n/a18
Aug ’23US$150.17
US$205.61
+36.9%
21.6%US$315.00US$120.00n/a18
Jul ’23US$138.00
US$213.58
+54.8%
17.9%US$315.00US$135.00n/a19
Jun ’23US$164.95
US$222.30
+34.8%
17.2%US$315.00US$135.00n/a20
May ’23US$203.56
US$255.52
+25.5%
17.2%US$355.00US$175.00n/a21
Apr ’23US$181.95
US$258.05
+41.8%
16.5%US$355.00US$175.00n/a22
Mar ’23US$224.28
US$318.38
+42.0%
17.3%US$410.00US$190.00n/a21
Feb ’23US$238.27
US$340.24
+42.8%
15.1%US$410.00US$190.00n/a21
Jan ’23US$291.51
US$345.57
+18.5%
12.1%US$410.00US$253.00US$202.7621
Dec ’22US$280.66
US$344.75
+22.8%
13.0%US$410.00US$234.00US$194.6120
Nov ’22US$287.35
US$354.70
+23.4%
12.1%US$413.00US$234.00US$140.1120
Oct ’22US$284.94
US$364.00
+27.7%
11.0%US$413.00US$234.00US$111.8920
Sep ’22US$304.13
US$364.76
+19.9%
11.6%US$413.00US$220.00US$143.8121
Aug ’22US$334.80
US$355.76
+6.3%
10.2%US$410.00US$220.00US$150.1721
Jul ’22US$326.27
US$356.14
+9.2%
10.0%US$410.00US$220.00US$138.0022
Jun ’22US$314.46
US$354.68
+12.8%
11.1%US$410.00US$201.00US$164.9522
May ’22US$326.33
US$320.59
-1.8%
12.4%US$385.00US$201.00US$203.5622
Apr ’22US$299.29
US$309.23
+3.3%
11.0%US$355.00US$183.00US$181.9522
Mar ’22US$263.97
US$270.00
+2.3%
10.1%US$310.00US$183.00US$224.2822
Feb ’22US$248.33
US$262.57
+5.7%
9.6%US$310.00US$183.00US$238.2723
Jan ’22US$261.55
US$246.09
-5.9%
8.3%US$275.00US$183.00US$291.5123

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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