Burlington Stores Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 5/6
Burlington Stores has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 16.4%, while the Specialty Retail industry saw earnings declining at 4.3% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 7.5% per year. Burlington Stores's return on equity is 34%, and it has net margins of 5.2%.
Key information
16.37%
Earnings growth rate
17.77%
EPS growth rate
| Specialty Retail Industry Growth | 26.64% |
| Revenue growth rate | 7.51% |
| Return on equity | 33.98% |
| Net Margin | 5.24% |
| Last Earnings Update | 02 May 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 28
Burlington: Selling Overdone After Earnings, Maybe The Best Discount Retail Stock
Summary Burlington Stores, Inc. delivered strong Q1 results, with comp-store sales up 6% and EPS beating consensus by $0.30. I reiterate a Buy rating for BURL, supported by robust EPS growth, margin expansion, and raised full-year guidance to $11.45–$11.80. BURL targets 115 net new stores in 2026 and continues to gain market share from TJX and ROST. Valuation remains attractive, with a 30x P/E implying over 20% upside for BURL, and technicals signaling a renewed upswing. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • May 26
BURL: Off Price Execution And Store Expansion Will Support Bullish 2026 Outlook
The analyst price target for Burlington Stores was updated slightly lower to $367.40. Analysts cited refreshed retail models following Q4 and Q1 updates that incorporate Burlington 2.0 execution, off-price channel tailwinds, and store expansion plans, along with ongoing competition and exposure to lower-income shoppers.Narrative Update • Apr 24
BURL: Off Price Model And Store Expansion Will Drive Bullish 2026 Outlook
Analysts have raised the average Burlington Stores price target by a few dollars into the mid to high $300s, citing the recent Q4 beat, higher outer year EPS estimates, and confidence in the company’s off price model, store expansion plans, and outlook into 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research reads as broadly constructive on Burlington Stores, with a cluster of higher price targets anchored in a strong Q4 report, updated earnings models, and a more confident outlook into 2026.Narrative Update • Apr 08
BURL: Off Price Model And Store Expansion Will Support Bullish 2026 Outlook
Analysts have nudged Burlington Stores' blended price target higher into the mid to high $360s, citing a broad wave of raised targets tied to a solid Q4 beat, higher outer-year EPS estimates, and confidence in the company's off-price model and store expansion plans. Analyst Commentary Street research around Burlington Stores is clustered in a positive camp, with a wide set of bullish analysts lifting price targets into a tighter band in the mid to high $360s and some outliers above $390.Narrative Update • Mar 25
BURL: Off Price Model And Store Expansion Will Support Stronger 2026 Earnings Path
Analysts have lifted their average price targets on Burlington Stores into a roughly $365 to $400 range, citing a strong Q4 beat, higher earnings estimates, and growing confidence in the company’s off-price model and 2026 outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of higher valuation targets for Burlington Stores following the Q4 report, with many firms pointing to both execution in the latest quarter and management’s 2026 outlook as key drivers behind their revised views.Narrative Update • Mar 09
BURL: Store Expansion And Margin Outlook Support More Confident 2026 Earnings Path
The analyst price target for Burlington Stores has moved from about $343 to $371, as analysts point to a stronger Q4 performance, an improved margin outlook, and a more confident multi-year earnings path supported by store growth and the off-price model. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates cluster around a similar message: Q4 results came in ahead of expectations, and that is feeding into higher earnings estimates and meaningfully higher price targets for Burlington Stores.Narrative Update • Feb 23
BURL: Store Expansion And Mixed Margin Outlook Set Up Balanced 2026 Prospects
Narrative Update The analyst price target for Burlington Stores has been adjusted higher to $343.07 from $339.29 as analysts factor in updated sector views, mixed but generally constructive rating changes, and revised assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Burlington Stores show a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms revising price targets and ratings as they reassess the company’s execution, earnings outlook, and sensitivity to retail trends.Analysis Article • Feb 15
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Burlington Stores, Inc.'s (NYSE:BURL) P/E
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may...Narrative Update • Feb 09
BURL: New Store Expansion And Flat Margins Shape A Balanced Outlook
Analysts have made a modest tweak to their Burlington Stores outlook, with the blended price target edging higher into the low US$330s. This reflects mixed target changes across firms and expectations for steady top line trends, flat EBIT margins on low single digit comps, and continued benefits from tax refunds and new store growth.Narrative Update • Jan 26
BURL: Margin Expansion And New Store Growth Will Drive Future Upside
Narrative Update: Burlington Stores (BURL) Analysts have made modest shifts to their Burlington Stores outlook, with recent price targets ranging from about $315 to $350. These targets reflect mixed views on near term headwinds, margin and unit growth investment, and expectations for continued consumer resilience in off price retail into 2026.Narrative Update • Jan 11
BURL: Margin Expansion And New Store Openings Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Burlington Stores higher to about $339 from roughly $336, reflecting updated assumptions for faster revenue growth, slightly higher profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple, supported by a mix of increased and trimmed price targets across recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture, with some analysts leaning more optimistic on Burlington Stores' long term setup and others flagging near term execution and margin constraints.Narrative Update • Dec 20
BURL: Margin Expansion From New Store Growth Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Burlington Stores by roughly $20 to the low $300s, citing tougher near term comparisons, incrementally higher operating and interest costs, and more conservative margin expectations, even as they point to ongoing benefits from unit growth and improving near term trends. Analyst Commentary Analyst reactions to the latest results reflect a mix of confidence in Burlington Stores long term growth algorithm and caution around near term execution risks and margin trajectory.Narrative Update • Dec 06
BURL: Margin Expansion And Store Openings Will Drive Multi Year Upside
Analysts have modestly trimmed their price targets for Burlington Stores, reflecting a roughly $30 to $35 reduction to the mid-$310s range as they factor in softer near-term comps, a slightly lower profit margin outlook, and increased investment-driven expenses, while still seeing constructive long-term growth and margin expansion opportunities. Analyst Commentary Burlington Stores recent earnings and updated outlook have prompted a recalibration of expectations, with targets edging lower but ratings remaining broadly positive as analysts balance near term execution risk against a still compelling multi year growth story.Narrative Update • Nov 22
BURL: Momentum From Margin Expansion Will Drive Performance Into Year End
The average analyst price target for Burlington Stores has been modestly lowered to $345.94 from $351.75, as analysts cite strong second-quarter performance, ongoing margin expansion, and improved revenue growth while also acknowledging challenges such as tariff pressures. Analyst Commentary Following the release of Burlington Stores’ second-quarter financial results, analysts across several research firms have updated their perspectives and price targets.Analysis Article • Oct 09
Burlington Stores (NYSE:BURL) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Amongst other things, we'll want to...Narrative Update • Aug 29
Opening 101 New Stores In 2024 Will Expand Presence In The Specialty Retail Market
Driven by stronger-than-expected Q2 results, robust +5% comps, resilient margin performance, and effective tariff mitigation, analysts have raised Burlington Stores’ consensus price target from $326.44 to $337.06. Analyst Commentary Q2 results exceeded expectations across all key metrics, leading to raised fiscal 2025 outlooks despite tariff headwinds.Analysis Article • Aug 05
Estimating The Fair Value Of Burlington Stores, Inc. (NYSE:BURL)
Key Insights Burlington Stores' estimated fair value is US$274 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With US$281...Analysis Article • Jul 24
Market Participants Recognise Burlington Stores, Inc.'s (NYSE:BURL) Earnings Pushing Shares 26% Higher
The Burlington Stores, Inc. ( NYSE:BURL ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain...Analysis Article • Jun 26
Is Burlington Stores (NYSE:BURL) Using Too Much Debt?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...Analysis Article • Jun 13
With EPS Growth And More, Burlington Stores (NYSE:BURL) Makes An Interesting Case
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...Seeking Alpha • Mar 06
Burlington Stores: Delivering In An Uncertain Time
Summary Burlington Stores, Inc. delivered strong Q4 earnings, with total revenues up 5% and comparable store sales increasing 6%, significantly beating guidance and estimates. Gross profit margin improved to 42.9%, with adjusted net income surging to $267 million, translating to a $0.36 EPS beat versus estimates. The balance sheet remains healthy, with $1.82 billion in liquidity and no borrowings on the ABL facility, supporting share repurchases and EPS boosts. Fiscal 2025 outlook is mixed but positive, with revenue growth of 6%-8% and an EPS target of $8.70-$9.35, justifying a hold rating for BURL shares despite high valuation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 28
Burlington Stores: No Signs Of Demand Slowdown
Summary I recommend a buy rating for Burlington Stores stock due to strong demand, solid 3Q24 results, and a positive outlook for FY24. BURL reported 10.5% sales growth, margin improvements, and raised its FY24 EPS guidance. Favorable macro conditions, including elevated rates and value-conscious consumer behavior, support BURL's strong demand outlook and potential for continued multiple expansion. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Sep 02
Expanding Stores, Enhancing Margins, And Overcoming Economic Hurdles
Expansion through new store openings and relocations is set to elevate sales and revenues, backed by a strategic focus on better brand offerings.Seeking Alpha • Aug 29
Burlington Stores: Poised For Next Leg Of Growth
Summary Burlington has shown strong traction in executing its business model, driving better foot traffic and margin growth. Company is likely to deliver another strong Q2 and have another beat and raise quarter. Burlington's valuation is attractive on a PEG basis, trading at 0.75x compared to peers, with potential for 25% EPS growth over the next three years. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jun 03
Burlington Stores: Stay Buy Rated As Stock Continues To Deliver
Summary Burlington Stores reported strong 1Q24 earnings, beating expectations with 10.5% revenue growth and 2% same-store sales growth. The company raised its FY24 EPS guidance and expects flat to 2% SSS growth for the full year. I continue to recommend a buy rating for Burlington Stores, as I believe BURL can meet long-term targets and the valuation is attractive. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Burlington Stores makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May 26 | 11,911 | 624 | 3,931 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 26 | 11,559 | 610 | 3,809 | 0 |
| 01 Nov 25 | 11,189 | 561 | 3,722 | 0 |
| 02 Aug 25 | 11,009 | 546 | 3,667 | 0 |
| 03 May 25 | 10,770 | 526 | 3,579 | 0 |
| 01 Feb 25 | 10,626 | 504 | 3,536 | 0 |
| 02 Nov 24 | 10,475 | 470 | 3,500 | 0 |
| 03 Aug 24 | 10,234 | 428 | 3,433 | 0 |
| 04 May 24 | 9,943 | 385 | 3,344 | 0 |
| 03 Feb 24 | 9,718 | 340 | 3,273 | 0 |
| 28 Oct 23 | 9,336 | 297 | 3,126 | 0 |
| 29 Jul 23 | 9,087 | 266 | 3,025 | 0 |
| 29 Apr 23 | 8,901 | 247 | 2,935 | 0 |
| 28 Jan 23 | 8,693 | 230 | 2,859 | 0 |
| 29 Oct 22 | 8,558 | 167 | 2,815 | 0 |
| 30 Jul 22 | 8,821 | 163 | 2,848 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 22 | 9,049 | 254 | 2,863 | 0 |
| 29 Jan 22 | 9,313 | 409 | 2,847 | 0 |
| 30 Oct 21 | 8,987 | 443 | 2,809 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 21 | 8,350 | 438 | 2,694 | 0 |
| 01 May 21 | 7,146 | 288 | 2,483 | 0 |
| 30 Jan 21 | 5,756 | -216 | 2,303 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 20 | 5,681 | -166 | 2,163 | 0 |
| 01 Aug 20 | 5,795 | -78 | 2,107 | 0 |
| 02 May 20 | 6,443 | 54 | 2,154 | 0 |
| 01 Feb 20 | 7,277 | 465 | 2,192 | 0 |
| 02 Nov 19 | 7,063 | 443 | 2,166 | 0 |
| 03 Aug 19 | 6,923 | 424 | 2,121 | 0 |
| 04 May 19 | 6,770 | 410 | 2,068 | 0 |
| 02 Feb 19 | 6,659 | 415 | 2,019 | 0 |
| 03 Nov 18 | 6,606 | 471 | 2,011 | 0 |
| 04 Aug 18 | 6,409 | 439 | 1,953 | 0 |
| 05 May 18 | 6,272 | 415 | 1,911 | 0 |
| 03 Feb 18 | 6,101 | 385 | 1,864 | 0 |
| 28 Oct 17 | 5,849 | 270 | 1,800 | 0 |
| 29 Jul 17 | 5,753 | 257 | 1,771 | 0 |
| 29 Apr 17 | 5,645 | 231 | 1,741 | 0 |
| 28 Jan 17 | 5,582 | 216 | 1,724 | 0 |
| 29 Oct 16 | 5,454 | 189 | 1,685 | 0 |
| 30 Jul 16 | 5,336 | 172 | 1,650 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 16 | 5,220 | 162 | 1,625 | 0 |
| 30 Jan 16 | 5,114 | 150 | 1,599 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 15 | 5,058 | 147 | 1,604 | 0 |
| 01 Aug 15 | 4,984 | 97 | 1,585 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: BURL has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: BURL's current net profit margins (5.2%) are higher than last year (4.9%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: BURL's earnings have grown by 16.4% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: BURL's earnings growth over the past year (18.7%) exceeds its 5-year average (16.4% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: BURL earnings growth over the past year (18.7%) exceeded the Specialty Retail industry 0.04%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: Whilst BURL's Return on Equity (33.98%) is high, this metric is skewed due to their high level of debt.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/07 01:11 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/05 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/05/02 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/01/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Burlington Stores, Inc. is covered by 29 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Mark Altschwager | Baird |
| Adrienne Yih-Tennant | Barclays |
| Brian McNamara | Berenberg |