Urban Outfitters, Inc.

NasdaqGS:URBN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.1b

Urban Outfitters Valuation

Is URBN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of URBN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: URBN ($55.18) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($120.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: URBN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for URBN?

Key metric: As URBN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for URBN. This is calculated by dividing URBN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is URBN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.4x
EarningsUS$329.91m
Market CapUS$5.15b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does URBN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for URBN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20x
BOOT Boot Barn Holdings
30.5x16.8%US$4.8b
ANF Abercrombie & Fitch
14.5x5.6%US$7.8b
AEO American Eagle Outfitters
13.6x19.1%US$3.2b
VSCO Victoria's Secret
21.5x3.6%US$3.3b
URBN Urban Outfitters
15.4x5.6%US$5.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: URBN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the peer average (20x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does URBN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TKLF Tokyo Lifestyle
2.2xn/aUS$15.83m
SSOK Sunstock
1xn/aUS$756.28k
MASN Maison Luxe
0.09xn/aUS$192.03k
EXPR.Q Express
0.000002xn/aUS$9.74k
URBN 15.4xIndustry Avg. 16.5xNo. of Companies11PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: URBN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (16.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is URBN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

URBN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.4x
Fair PE Ratio15.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: URBN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst URBN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$55.18
US$46.88
-15.0%
13.2%US$59.00US$36.00n/a13
Dec ’25US$48.73
US$46.42
-4.7%
12.5%US$59.00US$36.00n/a13
Nov ’25US$35.69
US$41.42
+16.1%
8.1%US$47.00US$34.00n/a13
Oct ’25US$37.40
US$41.42
+10.8%
8.1%US$47.00US$34.00n/a13
Sep ’25US$36.32
US$41.42
+14.1%
8.1%US$47.00US$34.00n/a13
Aug ’25US$44.26
US$45.27
+2.3%
10.4%US$52.00US$35.00n/a13
Jul ’25US$42.55
US$44.82
+5.3%
10.7%US$52.00US$35.00n/a14
Jun ’25US$41.71
US$44.61
+6.9%
10.4%US$52.00US$35.00n/a14
May ’25US$38.50
US$44.03
+14.4%
10.8%US$52.00US$32.00n/a15
Apr ’25US$44.88
US$44.69
-0.4%
8.1%US$52.00US$39.00n/a15
Mar ’25US$42.22
US$44.07
+4.4%
8.8%US$52.00US$38.60n/a15
Feb ’25US$39.46
US$39.23
-0.6%
14.4%US$48.00US$21.00n/a16
Jan ’25US$35.69
US$37.07
+3.9%
14.7%US$46.00US$21.00n/a15
Dec ’24US$37.77
US$36.93
-2.2%
14.5%US$46.00US$21.00US$48.7315
Nov ’24US$34.21
US$38.13
+11.5%
15.6%US$47.00US$21.00US$35.6915
Oct ’24US$32.69
US$38.13
+16.7%
15.6%US$47.00US$21.00US$37.4015
Sep ’24US$33.18
US$38.87
+17.1%
14.7%US$47.00US$21.00US$36.3215
Aug ’24US$36.73
US$33.89
-7.7%
18.2%US$45.00US$20.00US$44.2614
Jul ’24US$33.13
US$32.75
-1.1%
14.9%US$41.00US$20.00US$42.5514
Jun ’24US$30.49
US$31.75
+4.1%
14.2%US$38.00US$20.00US$41.7114
May ’24US$27.39
US$29.54
+7.8%
15.9%US$36.00US$19.00US$38.5013
Apr ’24US$27.72
US$29.46
+6.3%
16.0%US$36.00US$19.00US$44.8813
Mar ’24US$27.28
US$29.77
+9.1%
13.8%US$36.00US$23.00US$42.2213
Feb ’24US$28.16
US$28.46
+1.1%
13.4%US$36.00US$23.00US$39.4613
Jan ’24US$23.85
US$27.62
+15.8%
13.7%US$36.00US$22.00US$35.6913
Dec ’23US$28.53
US$27.58
-3.3%
13.4%US$35.50US$22.00US$37.7713

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/30 22:35
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/30 00:00
Earnings2024/10/31
Annual Earnings2024/01/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Urban Outfitters, Inc. is covered by 65 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Elizabeth Pierce LaddAscendiant Capital Markets LLC
Daniela NedialkovaAtlantic Equities LLP
Jeff BlackAvondale Partners