Ross Stores, Inc.

NasdaqGS:ROST Stock Report

Market Cap: US$48.8b

Ross Stores Valuation

Is ROST undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ROST when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ROST ($149.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($249.75)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ROST is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ROST?

Key metric: As ROST is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ROST. This is calculated by dividing ROST's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ROST's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.3x
EarningsUS$2.11b
Market CapUS$48.76b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ROST's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ROST vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.9x
BURL Burlington Stores
38.1x19.2%US$17.7b
TJX TJX Companies
28.2x7.5%US$136.2b
GAP Gap
11x3.8%US$9.0b
ANF Abercrombie & Fitch
14.5x5.6%US$7.7b
ROST Ross Stores
23.3x7.8%US$48.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ROST is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.3x) compared to the peer average (22.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ROST's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TKLF Tokyo Lifestyle
2xn/aUS$14.44m
SSOK Sunstock
0.8xn/aUS$556.28k
MASN Maison Luxe
0.08xn/aUS$168.03k
FTCH.Q Farfetch
n/an/aUS$395.00
ROST 23.3xIndustry Avg. 16.6xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ROST is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.3x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (16.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ROST's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ROST PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.3x
Fair PE Ratio18.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ROST is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ROST forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$149.15
US$169.00
+13.3%
9.8%US$190.00US$124.09n/a21
Dec ’25US$154.87
US$168.77
+9.0%
10.2%US$190.00US$123.00n/a21
Nov ’25US$140.06
US$171.05
+22.1%
9.8%US$190.00US$123.00n/a21
Oct ’25US$148.19
US$171.15
+15.5%
9.8%US$190.00US$123.00n/a21
Sep ’25US$150.61
US$173.49
+15.2%
7.5%US$190.00US$123.00n/a21
Aug ’25US$142.98
US$161.49
+13.0%
7.5%US$176.00US$117.00n/a21
Jul ’25US$145.24
US$161.49
+11.2%
7.5%US$176.00US$117.00n/a21
Jun ’25US$139.76
US$161.42
+15.5%
8.2%US$176.00US$111.00n/a21
May ’25US$127.82
US$160.78
+25.8%
7.9%US$173.00US$111.00n/a22
Apr ’25US$145.09
US$160.60
+10.7%
7.8%US$172.00US$111.00n/a22
Mar ’25US$149.63
US$146.39
-2.2%
8.3%US$165.00US$109.00n/a22
Feb ’25US$143.11
US$138.70
-3.1%
12.3%US$160.00US$85.00n/a22
Jan ’25US$138.39
US$135.20
-2.3%
10.8%US$150.00US$85.00n/a22
Dec ’24US$132.14
US$134.21
+1.6%
10.8%US$147.00US$85.00US$154.8722
Nov ’24US$115.98
US$129.13
+11.3%
10.3%US$142.00US$84.00US$140.0621
Oct ’24US$112.95
US$129.13
+14.3%
10.3%US$142.00US$84.00US$148.1921
Sep ’24US$121.70
US$128.38
+5.5%
10.4%US$142.00US$84.00US$150.6121
Aug ’24US$113.99
US$119.67
+5.0%
10.8%US$135.00US$78.00US$142.9821
Jul ’24US$112.13
US$119.05
+6.2%
11.0%US$135.00US$78.00US$145.2421
Jun ’24US$100.90
US$119.40
+18.3%
11.2%US$135.00US$78.00US$139.7620
May ’24US$105.75
US$120.95
+14.4%
12.0%US$139.00US$77.00US$127.8220
Apr ’24US$106.13
US$121.70
+14.7%
11.5%US$139.00US$77.00US$145.0920
Mar ’24US$110.67
US$123.76
+11.8%
8.0%US$139.00US$105.00US$149.6321
Feb ’24US$118.52
US$121.86
+2.8%
8.8%US$139.00US$103.00US$143.1121
Jan ’24US$116.07
US$119.76
+3.2%
8.7%US$135.00US$97.00US$138.3921
Dec ’23US$117.98
US$118.33
+0.3%
7.9%US$130.00US$97.00US$132.1421

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 22:54
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/11/02
Annual Earnings2024/02/03

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Ross Stores, Inc. is covered by 59 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mark MontagnaAvondale Partners
Mark AltschwagerBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research