Stock Analysis

We Think Best Buy (NYSE:BBY) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

NYSE:BBY
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Best Buy Co., Inc. (NYSE:BBY) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Best Buy

What Is Best Buy's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Best Buy had US$1.12b in debt in July 2023; about the same as the year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$1.32b in cash, so it actually has US$199.0m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:BBY Debt to Equity History October 23rd 2023

How Strong Is Best Buy's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Best Buy had liabilities of US$8.43b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$4.05b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$1.32b in cash and US$856.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$10.3b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage even relative to its gargantuan market capitalization of US$14.9b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Best Buy also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

It is just as well that Best Buy's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 28% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Best Buy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Best Buy has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Best Buy recorded free cash flow worth 54% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

While Best Buy does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of US$199.0m. So although we see some areas for improvement, we're not too worried about Best Buy's balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Best Buy that you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.