Best Buy Valuation

Is BBY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BBY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BBY ($86.77) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($200.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BBY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BBY?

Key metric: As BBY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BBY. This is calculated by dividing BBY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BBY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.8x
EarningsUS$1.26b
Market CapUS$18.69b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BBY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BBY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.6x
WSM Williams-Sonoma
20.4x1.0%US$17.3b
BURL Burlington Stores
39.6x17.8%US$17.3b
DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods
13.9x3.8%US$16.2b
KMX CarMax
28.4x19.4%US$11.7b
BBY Best Buy
14.8x7.0%US$18.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BBY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x) compared to the peer average (25.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BBY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TKLF Tokyo Lifestyle
2xn/aUS$14.40m
SSOK Sunstock
2.3xn/aUS$771.79k
MASN Maison Luxe
0.09xn/aUS$192.03k
CONN.Q Conn's
n/an/aUS$2.49k
BBY 14.8xIndustry Avg. 16.7xNo. of Companies11PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BBY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (16.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BBY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BBY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.8x
Fair PE Ratio17.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BBY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BBY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$86.77
US$104.04
+19.9%
10.0%US$123.00US$80.00n/a23
Nov ’25US$90.90
US$103.91
+14.3%
10.7%US$123.00US$80.00n/a23
Oct ’25US$101.35
US$103.91
+2.5%
10.7%US$123.00US$80.00n/a23
Sep ’25US$100.40
US$103.18
+2.8%
11.8%US$123.00US$80.00n/a22
Aug ’25US$85.67
US$89.96
+5.0%
9.7%US$106.00US$70.00n/a22
Jul ’25US$82.29
US$89.69
+9.0%
9.8%US$106.00US$70.00n/a22
Jun ’25US$84.82
US$86.60
+2.1%
9.8%US$101.00US$67.00n/a22
May ’25US$72.03
US$86.11
+19.5%
7.9%US$101.00US$70.00n/a23
Apr ’25US$81.64
US$86.15
+5.5%
8.0%US$101.00US$70.00n/a23
Mar ’25US$77.92
US$84.55
+8.5%
8.3%US$96.00US$68.00n/a22
Feb ’25US$75.24
US$77.15
+2.5%
10.8%US$92.00US$60.00n/a22
Jan ’25US$78.28
US$76.19
-2.7%
10.9%US$92.00US$60.00n/a22
Dec ’24US$73.42
US$75.05
+2.2%
10.5%US$92.00US$60.00n/a22
Nov ’24US$65.97
US$83.05
+25.9%
10.6%US$110.00US$70.00US$90.9022
Oct ’24US$69.47
US$83.51
+20.2%
9.8%US$110.00US$70.00US$101.3522
Sep ’24US$75.27
US$83.40
+10.8%
9.8%US$110.00US$70.00US$100.4023
Aug ’24US$82.77
US$80.61
-2.6%
12.8%US$110.00US$62.00US$85.6723
Jul ’24US$81.95
US$80.61
-1.6%
12.8%US$110.00US$62.00US$82.2923
May ’24US$73.65
US$84.46
+14.7%
11.5%US$110.00US$62.00US$72.0322
Apr ’24US$78.27
US$84.69
+8.2%
11.4%US$110.00US$62.00US$81.6422
Mar ’24US$82.54
US$85.28
+3.3%
11.3%US$110.00US$69.00US$77.9222
Feb ’24US$89.65
US$85.05
-5.1%
11.7%US$110.00US$69.00US$75.2421
Jan ’24US$80.21
US$85.62
+6.7%
11.4%US$110.00US$69.00US$78.2821
Dec ’23US$86.47
US$83.78
-3.1%
13.3%US$110.00US$59.00US$73.4220
Nov ’23US$68.88
US$81.28
+18.0%
15.4%US$110.00US$56.00US$65.9720

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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