Five Below, Inc.

NasdaqGS:FIVE Stock Report

Mkt Cap: US$11.1b

We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Five Below Valuation

Is FIVE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FIVE?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

FIVE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA30.6x
PEG Ratio2.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FIVE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FIVE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13x
DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods
9.7x0.06%US$11.2b
BBWI Bath & Body Works
11x11.6%US$10.5b
TSCO Tractor Supply
23.6x6.8%US$25.7b
ASO Academy Sports and Outdoors
7.8x1.9%US$4.8b
FIVE Five Below
48x17.4%US$11.1b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FIVE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.7%
 n/an/an/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FIVE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FIVE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio48x
Fair PE Ratio17.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FIVE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x).

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FIVE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FIVE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$199.23
US$198.68
-0.3%
9.0%US$235.00US$149.00n/a22
Jan ’24US$176.87
US$188.05
+6.3%
11.8%US$215.00US$125.00n/a22
Dec ’23US$187.48
US$183.05
-2.4%
12.9%US$215.00US$125.00n/a20
Nov ’23US$145.41
US$163.15
+12.2%
11.6%US$205.00US$125.00n/a20
Oct ’23US$137.67
US$160.40
+16.5%
12.2%US$205.00US$125.00n/a20
Sep ’23US$135.92
US$160.85
+18.3%
11.8%US$205.00US$125.00n/a20
Aug ’23US$133.79
US$167.70
+25.3%
16.6%US$216.00US$115.00n/a20
Jul ’23US$112.99
US$169.30
+49.8%
14.9%US$216.00US$135.00n/a20
Jun ’23US$127.06
US$208.86
+64.4%
17.8%US$284.00US$149.00n/a21
May ’23US$157.10
US$213.95
+36.2%
14.9%US$284.00US$151.00n/a21
Apr ’23US$162.68
US$215.14
+32.2%
14.2%US$284.00US$151.00n/a21
Mar ’23US$158.19
US$225.48
+42.5%
14.1%US$300.00US$151.00n/a21
Feb ’23US$170.74
US$224.76
+31.6%
14.9%US$300.00US$151.00US$198.3521
Jan ’23US$206.89
US$230.26
+11.3%
13.9%US$300.00US$151.00US$176.8719
Dec ’22US$189.19
US$225.74
+19.3%
14.6%US$300.00US$136.00US$187.4819
Nov ’22US$198.92
US$225.95
+13.6%
14.5%US$300.00US$136.00US$145.4119
Oct ’22US$173.65
US$225.95
+30.1%
14.5%US$300.00US$136.00US$137.6719
Sep ’22US$216.05
US$227.37
+5.2%
14.8%US$300.00US$132.00US$135.9219
Aug ’22US$194.42
US$224.89
+15.7%
14.5%US$300.00US$132.00US$133.7919
Jul ’22US$196.47
US$224.50
+14.3%
14.3%US$300.00US$132.00US$112.9920
Jun ’22US$181.92
US$219.10
+20.4%
13.9%US$260.00US$124.00US$127.0620
May ’22US$201.27
US$219.10
+8.9%
13.9%US$260.00US$124.00US$157.1020
Apr ’22US$195.62
US$218.50
+11.7%
13.6%US$252.00US$124.00US$162.6820
Mar ’22US$194.08
US$201.70
+3.9%
13.5%US$235.00US$114.00US$158.1920
Feb ’22US$172.69
US$201.70
+16.8%
13.5%US$235.00US$114.00US$170.7420

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