Chewy Valuation

Is CHWY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CHWY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CHWY ($32.48) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($61.25)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CHWY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CHWY?

Key metric: As CHWY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CHWY. This is calculated by dividing CHWY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CHWY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio33x
EarningsUS$401.83m
Market CapUS$13.01b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CHWY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CHWY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.6x
ULTA Ulta Beauty
16.4x-0.7%US$19.3b
DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods
15.3x3.7%US$17.5b
BBWI Bath & Body Works
9x0.2%US$8.4b
FIVE Five Below
21.8x8.2%US$5.8b
CHWY Chewy
33x-0.5%US$13.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CHWY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33x) compared to the peer average (15.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CHWY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TKLF Tokyo Lifestyle
2xn/aUS$15.71m
SSOK Sunstock
0.8xn/aUS$556.28k
MASN Maison Luxe
0.09xn/aUS$168.03k
EXPR.Q Express
0.000004xn/aUS$749.00
CHWY 33.0xIndustry Avg. 16.1xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CHWY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (16.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CHWY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CHWY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio33x
Fair PE Ratio18x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CHWY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CHWY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$32.48
US$36.24
+11.6%
13.1%US$42.00US$24.00n/a21
Dec ’25US$33.41
US$34.51
+3.3%
12.4%US$40.00US$24.00n/a21
Nov ’25US$27.12
US$31.61
+16.6%
12.2%US$38.00US$24.00n/a21
Oct ’25US$29.36
US$31.23
+6.4%
11.5%US$35.00US$24.00n/a21
Sep ’25US$28.55
US$31.02
+8.6%
12.0%US$35.00US$24.00n/a21
Aug ’25US$23.25
US$26.54
+14.1%
17.7%US$35.00US$18.50n/a22
Jul ’25US$25.44
US$26.17
+2.9%
19.5%US$35.00US$16.00n/a23
Jun ’25US$21.21
US$25.12
+18.5%
17.9%US$35.00US$16.00n/a23
May ’25US$15.05
US$23.53
+56.3%
18.5%US$32.00US$16.00n/a25
Apr ’25US$16.09
US$23.65
+47.0%
17.7%US$32.00US$16.50n/a25
Mar ’25US$18.03
US$25.44
+41.1%
20.8%US$36.00US$17.00n/a24
Feb ’25US$17.90
US$25.44
+42.1%
20.8%US$36.00US$17.00n/a24
Jan ’25US$23.63
US$25.22
+6.7%
23.5%US$40.00US$15.00n/a24
Dec ’24US$18.32
US$32.86
+79.4%
28.5%US$48.00US$16.00US$33.4122
Nov ’24US$19.14
US$34.00
+77.6%
25.6%US$48.00US$16.00US$27.1222
Oct ’24US$18.26
US$35.85
+96.3%
20.2%US$50.00US$25.00US$29.3621
Sep ’24US$24.67
US$36.14
+46.5%
19.1%US$50.00US$25.00US$28.5522
Aug ’24US$33.56
US$44.39
+32.3%
18.4%US$56.00US$26.00US$23.2523
Jul ’24US$39.47
US$44.04
+11.6%
18.4%US$56.00US$26.00US$25.4423
Jun ’24US$35.85
US$44.68
+24.6%
18.6%US$57.00US$26.00US$21.2125
May ’24US$31.45
US$44.75
+42.3%
20.0%US$57.00US$24.00US$15.0524
Apr ’24US$37.38
US$44.87
+20.0%
20.2%US$57.00US$24.00US$16.0923
Mar ’24US$39.54
US$47.05
+19.0%
18.4%US$57.00US$24.00US$18.0322
Feb ’24US$47.02
US$47.10
+0.2%
18.8%US$57.00US$24.00US$17.9021
Jan ’24US$37.08
US$46.19
+24.6%
19.4%US$57.00US$24.00US$23.6321
Dec ’23US$44.35
US$44.21
-0.3%
21.2%US$57.00US$24.00US$18.3221

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 22:45
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/10/27
Annual Earnings2024/01/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Chewy, Inc. is covered by 47 analysts. 26 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Justin KleberBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Trevor YoungBarclays