Upbound Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Upbound Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 28.9% and 4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 28.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 37.2% in 3 years.

Key information

28.9%

Earnings growth rate

28.6%

EPS growth rate

Specialty Retail earnings growth	9.2%
Revenue growth rate	4.0%
Future return on equity	37.2%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	13 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

These 4 Measures Indicate That Upbound Group (NASDAQ:UPBD) Is Using Debt Extensively

Aug 07

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Upbound Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:UPBD)?

Jul 19

Calculating The Fair Value Of Upbound Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:UPBD)

May 12

Upbound Group (NASDAQ:UPBD) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Apr 27

Upbound Group (NASDAQ:UPBD) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.34

Mar 28

What Is Upbound Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:UPBD) Share Price Doing?

Mar 10

Rent-A-Center (NASDAQ:RCII) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Jan 06

Are Investors Undervaluing Rent-A-Center, Inc. (NASDAQ:RCII) By 43%?

Dec 19

Is It Time To Consider Buying Rent-A-Center, Inc. (NASDAQ:RCII)?

Nov 29

Rent-A-Center: Wait For The Growth To Return

Sep 28

Rent-A-Center declares $0.34 dividend

Sep 21

Rent-A-Center (NASDAQ:RCII) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Aug 17

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:UPBD - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	4,778	280	237	295	4
12/31/2025	4,497	233	189	248	9
12/31/2024	4,298	146	92	149	9
9/30/2024	4,259	81	86	147	N/A
6/30/2024	4,170	55	61	119	N/A
3/31/2024	4,072	-25	85	140	N/A
12/31/2023	3,992	-5	147	200	N/A
9/30/2023	3,965	9	228	276	N/A
6/30/2023	4,010	-1	271	323	N/A
3/31/2023	4,102	64	314	369	N/A
12/31/2022	4,245	12	407	468	N/A
9/30/2022	4,426	20	412	478	N/A
6/30/2022	4,584	47	361	429	N/A
3/31/2022	4,706	88	394	462	N/A
12/31/2021	4,583	135	330	392	N/A
9/30/2021	4,129	181	209	266	N/A
6/30/2021	3,659	224	187	232	N/A
3/31/2021	3,149	201	288	325	N/A
12/31/2020	2,814	208	202	237	N/A
9/30/2020	2,766	192	252	284	N/A
6/30/2020	2,703	160	254	285	N/A
3/31/2020	2,675	216	159	187	N/A
12/31/2019	2,670	174	194	215	N/A
9/30/2019	2,664	135	254	272	N/A
6/30/2019	2,659	116	253	270	N/A
3/31/2019	2,659	36	197	219	N/A
12/31/2018	2,660	8	200	228	N/A
9/30/2018	2,638	42	125	159	N/A
6/30/2018	2,637	16	N/A	142	N/A
3/31/2018	2,659	-7	N/A	136	N/A
12/31/2017	2,703	7	N/A	111	N/A
9/30/2017	2,748	-175	N/A	115	N/A
6/30/2017	2,798	-156	N/A	163	N/A
3/31/2017	2,870	-137	N/A	187	N/A
12/31/2016	2,963	-105	N/A	354	N/A
9/30/2016	3,073	-959	N/A	356	N/A
6/30/2016	3,171	-969	N/A	344	N/A
3/31/2016	3,236	-956	N/A	229	N/A
12/31/2015	3,278	-954	N/A	231	N/A
9/30/2015	3,281	72	N/A	205	N/A
6/30/2015	3,254	102	N/A	139	N/A
3/31/2015	3,207	96	N/A	127	N/A
12/31/2014	3,158	96	N/A	19	N/A
9/30/2014	3,121	84	N/A	25	N/A
6/30/2014	3,111	86	N/A	88	N/A
3/31/2014	3,103	110	N/A	141	N/A
12/31/2013	3,094	129	N/A	134	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: UPBD's forecast earnings growth (28.9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: UPBD's earnings (28.9% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: UPBD's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: UPBD's revenue (4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: UPBD's revenue (4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: UPBD's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (37.2%)

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/23 09:31
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Upbound Group, Inc. is covered by 23 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Anthony Chukumba	BB&T Capital Markets
Jason Haas	BofA Global Research
Vincent Caintic	BTIG

Upbound Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 14%

Price target increased by 9.1% to US$41.86

Price target increased by 7.0% to US$40.00

Upbound Group, Inc. Revises Earnings Guidance for the Year 2023

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

Price target increased by 14% to US$36.50

Recent updates

Fortuna Merger Sub, Inc. entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger to acquire Bridge IT, Inc. for $460 million.

Third quarter dividend increased to US$0.39

Upbound Group, Inc. Announces Cash Dividend for the First Quarter of 2025, Payable on January 7, 2025

Upbound: Proven Business Model, FCF, Divestiture, And Significantly Undervalued

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 14%

Third quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Upbound Group, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 31, 2024

FlexShopper, Inc. Files Patent Infringement Lawsuits Against Upbound Group, Inc. and Katapult Holdings, Inc

Upbound: Decision Engine Equipped With Large Data Sets Implies Undervaluation

Second quarter dividend of US$0.37 announced

Upbound Group, Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend for the Fourth Quarter of 2024, Payable on October 22, 2024

Upbound Group, Inc. Appoints Charu Jain as New Independent Director

Insider recently sold US$514k worth of stock

Insider notifies of intention to sell stock

New minor risk - Insider selling

Second quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Upbound Group, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 01, 2024

Upbound Group, Inc.(NasdaqGS:UPBD) dropped from Russell Small Cap Comp Value Index

Upbound Group: Strong Growth In Acima Provides Upside Potential

First quarter dividend of US$0.37 announced

Upbound Group, Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend for the Third Quarter of 2024, Payable July 9, 2024

New major risk - Dividend sustainability

First quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Upbound Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 04, 2024

Upbound Group, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 02, 2024

Upbound Group, Inc. Announces Directorate Changes

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.37 announced

Upbound Group, Inc. Approves Quarterly Cash Dividend for the Second Quarter of 2024, Payable on April 22, 2024

Insider notifies of intention to sell stock

New minor risk - Insider selling

Insider recently sold US$1.0m worth of stock

Upbound Group, Inc. Announces the Resignation of Mr. Christopher Hetrick as Board and All Committees Thereof, Effective from February 29, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Price target increased by 9.1% to US$41.86

Upbound Group, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 22, 2024

Upcoming dividend of US$0.37 per share at 4.3% yield

Upbound Group, Inc. Increases Quarterly Cash Dividend for the First Quarter of 2024, Payable on January 9, 2024

Third quarter 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Upbound Group, Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 02, 2023

Upbound Group, Inc. Declares Cash Dividend for the Fourth Quarter of 2023, Payable on October 24, 2023

New minor risk - Insider selling

Insider recently sold US$694k worth of stock

Insider notifies of intention to sell stock

These 4 Measures Indicate That Upbound Group (NASDAQ:UPBD) Is Using Debt Extensively

Price target increased by 7.0% to US$40.00

Upbound Group, Inc. Revises Earnings Guidance for the Year 2023

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Upbound Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:UPBD)?

Upbound Group, Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 03, 2023

Upbound Group, Inc. Approves Cash Dividend for the Third Quarter of 2023, Payable on July 11, 2023

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Now 21% undervalued

Calculating The Fair Value Of Upbound Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:UPBD)

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

Price target increased by 14% to US$36.50

Price target increased by 9.4% to US$33.38

Upbound Group, Inc. Revises Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2023

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Upbound Group (NASDAQ:UPBD) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Upbound Group (NASDAQ:UPBD) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.34

What Is Upbound Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:UPBD) Share Price Doing?

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 17%

Insufficient new directors

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Rent-A-Center, Inc. Announces Resignation of B.C. Silver as Board of Director and Member of the Compensation Committee and Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee

Rent-A-Center (NASDAQ:RCII) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Are Investors Undervaluing Rent-A-Center, Inc. (NASDAQ:RCII) By 43%?

Upcoming dividend of US$0.34 per share

Rent-A-Center, Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend for the First Quarter of 2023, Payable on January 10, 2023