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Upbound Group, Inc.

NasdaqGS:UPBD Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.1b

  • Company Overview
    • Valuation
    • Future Growth
    • Past Performance
    • Financial Health
    • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Upbound Group Dividends and Buybacks

Dividend criteria checks 4/6

Upbound Group is a dividend paying company with a current yield of 8.52%.

Key information

8.5%

Dividend yield

0.4%

Buyback Yield

Total Shareholder Yield8.9%
Future Dividend Yield8.7%
Dividend Growth11.7%
Next dividend pay daten/a
Ex dividend daten/a
Dividend per sharen/a
Payout ratio99%

Recent dividend and buyback updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 08

Upbound Group: Acima's Portfolio Falls 9% While Rent-A-Center's Rises 13%

Summary Upbound Group is rated Hold despite a high 8.36% dividend yield and consensus Buy, due to nuanced cash flow dynamics. Current free cash flow strength is driven by declining originations at Acima, which may reverse if volume recovers as consensus expects. Rent-A-Center is consolidating with fewer stores and a higher portfolio per location, but margin gains are offset by rising costs. Brigit’s rapid revenue growth is eroding operating margin due to higher advance losses and customer acquisition costs, raising profitability concerns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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Narrative Update • Jul 13

UPBD: Amazon Returns Partnership Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price expectations for Upbound Group, with the implied fair value moving from about $46.00 to roughly $40.17 as updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E are reflected in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary on Upbound Group suggests that investors are paying close attention to how updated assumptions on growth, profitability, and valuation multiples feed into fair value estimates.
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Narrative Update • Jun 29

UPBD: Cautious Outlook Will Test Execution And Amazon Partnership Momentum

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Upbound Group to $20.00 from $24.00. This change reflects updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions.
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Narrative Update • Jun 15

UPBD: Amazon Partnership And 2026 Revenue Outlook Will Support Earnings Re Rating

Analysts trimmed their price target on Upbound Group by $2, citing updated assumptions around discount rates and valuation multiples, while keeping fair value estimates broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research commentary on Upbound Group centers on small valuation tweaks rather than a fundamental reset of expectations, with the latest $2 price target reduction framed as a refinement of underlying assumptions.
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Narrative Update • Jun 01

UPBD: Amazon Partnership And 2026 Outlook Will Support Earnings Re Rating

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Upbound Group by $2, reflecting updated assumptions around slightly lower revenue growth, a modestly softer profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple in their refreshed models. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Upbound Group centers on how the updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E may affect the stock's risk and reward profile rather than signaling a major shift in the core story.
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Narrative Update • Apr 26

UPBD: Amazon Partnership And 2026 Plan Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have modestly reduced their price target for Upbound Group by $2, reflecting a slightly more cautious stance that aligns with recent Street research commentary, including TD Cowen's updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Upbound Group has been relatively restrained, with a modest price target trim reflecting more cautious assumptions rather than a wholesale shift in the core thesis.
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Narrative Update • Apr 10

UPBD: 2026 Revenue Plan And Lower P E Multiple Will Support Upside

Analysts trimmed their 12 month price target for Upbound Group by about $0.60 to $28.50, citing a slightly lower assumed future P/E multiple while keeping revenue growth, profit margin and discount rate assumptions effectively unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around companies in adjacent consumer finance and earned wage access areas offers helpful context for how analysts are thinking about Upbound Group's valuation and execution risk, even when the reports focus on other names.
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Narrative Update • Mar 27

UPBD: Specialty Finance Reset And 2026 Guidance Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Analysts trimmed their price target on Upbound Group by $1 to $30, citing updated views on the broader specialty finance sector, including areas such as credit cards, auto lending, student lending, non prime lending, buy now pay later, and lease to own. Analyst Commentary Bullish and cautious views on Upbound Group are both showing up in recent research, and the latest US$30 price target reflects that mix.
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Narrative Update • Mar 11

UPBD: Specialty Finance Reset And 2026 Guidance Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Upbound Group to $30 from $31, tying the $1 change to a broad reassessment of the specialty finance sector as macro factors influence areas such as credit cards, auto lending, student lending, non prime lending, buy now pay later, and lease to own. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Upbound Group centers on how broader specialty finance conditions are feeding into valuation work, rather than on company specific revisions.
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Narrative Update • Feb 25

UPBD: Specialty Finance Reset And 2026 Revenue Outlook Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have reset their price target on Upbound Group to $30, a $1 trim from the prior $31, tying the move to broader reassessments across specialty finance. The new target still reflects updated assumptions on fair value, discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels.
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Narrative Update • Feb 10

UPBD: Specialty Finance Reset And 2026 Outlook Will Drive Upside Potential

Narrative Update on Upbound Group Analysts have trimmed their price target on Upbound Group, with the model fair value moving from about $30.75 to roughly $28.57. This reflects updated sector views in specialty finance as they recalibrate assumptions around discount rates, future P/E and macro driven demand across areas such as non prime lending and lease to own offerings.
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Narrative Update • Jan 26

UPBD: Sector Reset And 2026 Outlook Will Support Future Cash Flows

Narrative Update: Analyst Price Target Shift Analysts have trimmed their price target on Upbound Group by $1 to $30, citing refreshed sector views for specialty finance and updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates around Upbound Group focus less on company specific issues and more on a broader reset across specialty finance, with analysts adjusting their models to reflect macro conditions and expectations across various consumer credit and lease to own segments.
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Narrative Update • Jan 11

UPBD: Sector Repricing Will Support Future Cash Flow Upside Potential

Analysts trimmed their price target on Upbound Group to about $30 from roughly $31, reflecting updated sector-level views in specialty finance related to macroeconomic conditions and trends across credit card, auto, student, non-prime, buy now pay later, and lease-to-own markets. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more cautious stance on valuation, with the price target reset to US$30 from US$31.
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Narrative Update • Dec 13

UPBD: Accelerated Depreciation Windfall Will Drive Near-Term Cash Flow Upside

Narrative Update on Upbound Group The analyst price target for Upbound Group has been raised significantly from $21 to $36 per share as analysts point to stronger near term earnings prospects driven by continued growth at Acima and Brigit, along with an expected cash windfall from accelerated depreciation benefits. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts view the recent price target increase as a validation of Upbound Group's improving earnings trajectory and the durability of its growth drivers.
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Narrative Update • Nov 29

UPBD: Legislative Gains And Operational Execution Will Drive Short-Term Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for Upbound Group from $21 to $36, citing improved near-term earnings visibility as well as anticipated financial benefits from operational growth and legislative changes. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight enhanced earnings visibility driven by robust growth in Upbound’s Acima and Brigit platforms.
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Narrative Update • Nov 15

UPBD: Near-Term Earnings Momentum Will Drive Upside Amid Improved Execution

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Upbound Group to $31.38 from $32.38. This adjustment is attributed to improved near-term earnings prospects and ongoing growth in key segments, but is offset by a higher discount rate and modestly reduced profit margin expectations.
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Narrative Update • Nov 01

UPBD: Near-Term Earnings Momentum And Cash Windfall Will Drive Future Upside

Upbound Group’s fair value price target has been revised downward by analysts from $36.38 to $32.38 per share. This change reflects updated expectations for slower revenue growth and profit margins, despite near-term optimism about earnings and anticipated cash benefits from recent legislation.
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Narrative Update • Sep 16

Expanding Financial Access And Innovating In E-Commerce Fuels Growth And Efficiency

Upbound Group’s consensus price target has been raised to $36.38, reflecting increased analyst confidence in near-term earnings potential and ongoing strong performance at Acima, with further support from expected cash flow benefits due to accelerated depreciation provisions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see increased confidence in near-term earnings potential, especially following management meetings that highlighted company growth drivers.
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Narrative Update • Aug 27

Expanding Financial Access And Innovating In E-Commerce Fuels Growth And Efficiency

Despite Upbound Group’s solid operational performance and ongoing improvements in its Acima division, analysts have tempered their outlook due to persistent U.S. macroeconomic uncertainty, resulting in a lowered consensus price target from $36.25 to $34.50. Analyst Commentary Q2 results exceeded expectations, demonstrating strong quarterly performance.
Seeking Alpha • Nov 08

Upbound: Proven Business Model, FCF, Divestiture, And Significantly Undervalued

Summary Upbound Group, Inc. has a proven business model with consistent positive net income and free cash flow, making it a profitable investment. The recent sale of Rent-A-Center stores and reduced net leverage ratio could enhance valuation and attract new investors. The company is well-positioned for acquisitions, marketing investments, and dividend growth, supported by strong cash flow and financial health. Despite potential risks, UPBD appears significantly undervalued, trading below peers' multiples and offering substantial upside potential. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 28

Upbound: Decision Engine Equipped With Large Data Sets Implies Undervaluation

Summary Upbound Group, Inc. appears undervalued due to its expanding retail network, proprietary automated decision engine, and significant market opportunity among U.S. consumers lacking traditional credit access. The company's flexible lease-purchase agreements, better-than-expected EPS, and revenue growth, along with a low forward earnings multiple, indicate strong future FCF growth potential. Key business drivers include increased retail partner locations, robust automated customer selection processes, rising e-commerce revenue, and effective marketing strategies. Despite risks related to data acquisition, regulatory changes, and competition, a conservative DCF model suggests a fair valuation close to $95 per share. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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New Narrative • Sep 12

Expanding Financial Access And Innovating In E-Commerce Fuels Growth And Efficiency

Expansion through new Acima Credit products and merchant partnerships is set to widen customer base and increase revenue.

Stability and Growth of Payments

Fetching dividends data

Stable Dividend: UPBD's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.

Growing Dividend: UPBD's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.


Dividend Yield vs Market

Upbound Group Dividend Yield vs Market
How does UPBD dividend yield compare to the market?
SegmentDividend Yield
Company (UPBD)8.5%
Market Bottom 25% (US)1.4%
Market Top 25% (US)4.1%
Industry Average (Specialty Retail)2.4%
Analyst forecast (UPBD) (up to 3 years)8.7%

Notable Dividend: UPBD's dividend (8.52%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.36%).

High Dividend: UPBD's dividend (8.52%) is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (4.11%)


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: With its high payout ratio (99%), UPBD's dividend payments are not well covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: With its reasonably low cash payout ratio (25.6%), UPBD's dividend payments are well covered by cash flows.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/14 03:46
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Upbound Group, Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jason HaasBofA Global Research
Vincent CainticBTIG
Laura ChampineCanaccord Genuity

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