Stock Analysis

At US$215, Is Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO) Worth Looking At Closely?

NasdaqGS:TSCO
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Let's talk about the popular Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO). The company's shares saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NASDAQGS. While good news for shareholders, the company has traded much higher in the past year. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s examine Tractor Supply’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

Check out our latest analysis for Tractor Supply

What's The Opportunity In Tractor Supply?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to our valuation model. It’s trading around 15% below our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Tractor Supply today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $251.86, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. What's more, Tractor Supply’s share price may be more stable over time (relative to the market), as indicated by its low beta.

What does the future of Tractor Supply look like?

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NasdaqGS:TSCO Earnings and Revenue Growth January 1st 2024

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Tractor Supply's earnings growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming years, indicating a solid future ahead. This should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? TSCO’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on TSCO, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. At Simply Wall St, we found 1 warning sign for Tractor Supply and we think they deserve your attention.

If you are no longer interested in Tractor Supply, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.