ThredUp Future Growth
Future criteria checks 0/6
ThredUp is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 32.4% and 9.1% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 33.8% per annum.
Key information
32.4%
Earnings growth rate
33.80%
EPS growth rate
| Specialty Retail earnings growth | 8.5% |
| Revenue growth rate | 9.1% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 21 Aug 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Aug 07
ThredUp Collapses On Q2 Report, Shares Have Further To Fall
Summary ThredUp Inc. (TDUP) receives a 'sell' rating following a significant Q2 earnings miss and weak forward guidance. TDUP's net loss exceeded expectations by 40%, triggering a near 50% stock price collapse and raising concerns about profitability timelines. Management cut full-year revenue guidance by 2.1%, citing softness among sub-$60k income consumers—a segment which is still material to results. Despite healthy liquidity, TDUP remains expensive at 2.28x fwd EV/Sales; further downside is likely unless future quarters deliver clear beats. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Jul 07
TDUP: Higher Future P/E Expectations Will Likely Expose Profitability Weakness
Analysts have adjusted ThredUp's fair value estimate to $5.70 from $5.00, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary on ThredUp Recent Street research on ThredUp reflects a mixed view, with some firms adjusting price targets in different directions.
Narrative Update • Jun 23
TDUP: Execution Improvements And Raised Guidance Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on ThredUp by $2 to reflect updated views on the stock's risk profile and earnings potential, while keeping core valuation assumptions largely unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research on ThredUp points to a mixed but measured view, with some analysts focusing on upside from execution and others highlighting risks that could weigh on valuation and growth expectations.Narrative Update • Jun 06
TDUP: Marketplace Momentum And Margin Execution Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have lowered their average price target for ThredUp by about $2. This change reflects updated assumptions around discount rates, long-term margin potential, and the P/E multiple they are willing to pay for the stock.Narrative Update • May 23
TDUP: Marketplace Momentum And Buyer Trends Will Support Future Margin Expansion
The updated analyst price target for ThredUp edges down from $8.80 to $8.04, as analysts factor in slightly softer assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins while still recognizing ongoing marketplace momentum and recent target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a mixed but generally constructive stance on ThredUp, with most firms trimming price targets while still citing company specific drivers that support the updated valuations.Narrative Update • May 01
TDUP: Marketplace Momentum And Buyer Trends Will Support Higher Margins
Analysts have slightly raised the blended price target for ThredUp by about $0.10, citing continued marketplace momentum, resilient buyer trends, and an outlook that still supports higher margins despite lower peer multiples and a tougher consumer backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on ThredUp reflects a generally constructive stance on the business, even as price targets are adjusted downward to reflect lower marketplace multiples and a tougher consumer backdrop.
New Narrative • Apr 23
Resale And AI Adoption Will Support Long Term Secondhand Fashion Demand
Catalysts About ThredUp ThredUp operates a managed online marketplace for secondhand fashion focused on consignment and U.S. sourced supply. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Apr 17
TDUP: Marketplace Momentum And Buyer Trends Will Drive Long Term Upside
Analysts have lowered the average price target on ThredUp to about $8.70 from roughly $9.63, citing reduced marketplace multiples while research continues to highlight buyer momentum, the company’s resale market positioning, and ongoing benefits from prior investments and rebranding. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a mixed setup for ThredUp, where analysts are balancing confidence in execution and growth drivers with more conservative valuation assumptions.New Narrative • Apr 07
Weak Consumer And Margin Pressures Will Challenge Resale Shift Yet Ultimately Support Long Term Upside
Catalysts About ThredUp ThredUp operates a managed online marketplace for secondhand fashion, connecting buyers and sellers of used apparel and accessories in the U.S. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective? Although consumer interest in value and more sustainable shopping habits is helping ThredUp attract a record 1.7 million active buyers and drive 20% annual revenue of US$310.8 million, weaker discretionary wallets and an affordability squeeze on core expenses could limit how much of the apparel spend pool actually shifts onto the platform.Narrative Update • Apr 02
TDUP: Marketplace Momentum And Buyer Trends Will Support Long Term Upside
Analysts have adjusted ThredUp's average price target to a range centered around $9 to $10, reflecting lower marketplace multiples. They also highlight solid Q4 execution, ongoing buyer momentum, and a constructive long-term view on the resale model.Narrative Update • Mar 19
TDUP: Marketplace Momentum And New Supply Channels Will Support Long Term Upside
Narrative Update on ThredUp Analysts have trimmed ThredUp's blended price target to about $9.63, reflecting lower P/E multiples across resale marketplace peers, even as they highlight strong recent results, sustained growth drivers, and the long term potential in the resale market. Analyst Commentary Recent research on ThredUp reflects a mixed backdrop where trimmed price targets sit alongside broadly positive views on execution, growth drivers, and the resale opportunity.Narrative Update • Mar 05
TDUP: Marketplace Momentum And Margin Progress Will Support Long Term Upside
The analyst price target for ThredUp has been revised from $13.00 to $9.63, as analysts reset multiples and temper fair value assumptions, while still pointing to ongoing marketplace momentum, buyer growth and margin progress as key supports for the long term story. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to a strong finish to FY25 and Q4, with high teens growth and a 2026 outlook they view as healthy enough, which they see as reinforcing the thesis that ThredUp's core marketplace continues to gain traction.Analysis Article • Feb 05
ThredUp Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TDUP) Share Price Is Still Matching Investor Opinion Despite 26% Slump
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the ThredUp Inc. ( NASDAQ:TDUP ) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty...Analysis Article • Jan 09
Is ThredUp (NASDAQ:TDUP) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Narrative Update • Sep 04
Tariffs And Sustainability Trends Will Empower Secondhand Fashion Markets
Analysts remain bullish on ThredUp’s long-term growth potential, citing strong fundamentals, favorable industry trends, and recent share momentum, while the consensus analyst price target is unchanged at $13.00. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite ThredUp's strong positioning to capitalize on secular tailwinds within the resale market.Analysis Article • Aug 06
Investors Appear Satisfied With ThredUp Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TDUP) Prospects As Shares Rocket 28%
NasdaqGS:TDUP 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore ThredUp's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...Analysis Article • Jul 28
Is ThredUp (NASDAQ:TDUP) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Jun 12
ThredUp Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TDUP) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
Despite an already strong run, ThredUp Inc. ( NASDAQ:TDUP ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the...Analysis Article • May 14
We Think The Compensation For ThredUp Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TDUP) CEO Looks About Right
Key Insights ThredUp to hold its Annual General Meeting on 21st of May Salary of US$980.0k is part of CEO James...Analysis Article • Apr 11
Subdued Growth No Barrier To ThredUp Inc. (NASDAQ:TDUP) With Shares Advancing 43%
ThredUp Inc. ( NASDAQ:TDUP ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 43% gain in the last month alone. The...
New Narrative • Apr 01
Generative AI And Marketing Will Reshape Secondhand Apparel Sector
Investment in generative AI for enhanced shopping experience is expected to increase conversion rates and drive revenue growth.Analysis Article • Apr 01
Is ThredUp (NASDAQ:TDUP) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...Seeking Alpha • Jan 31
ThredUp: A Compelling Asymmetric Investment Opportunity
Summary ThredUp, a leading U.S. second-hand marketplace, is poised for significant free cash flow growth over the next five years despite past challenges. The company's unique full-service model and strategic shift towards profitability create a strong competitive moat and compelling investment opportunity. ThredUp's recent Q4 preannouncement exceeded expectations, showing 9% revenue growth and 6.5% adjusted EBITDA margins, indicating a critical inflection point. With high-teens revenue growth and 25-30% incremental EBITDA margins expected, ThredUp's stock offers potential returns of over 700% by 2030. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 16
ThredUp: The Management Is Locked In, Just Need To Prove It Now
Summary ThredUp's recent stock surge is driven by exiting the European market and refocusing on the US, despite ongoing operational inefficiencies and high expenses. The company has high gross margins but remains unprofitable due to excessive operating expenses, with a concerning financial performance in recent quarters. ThredUp's strong cash position provides a cushion, but profitability hinges on management's ability to optimize marketing and operational strategies. While the thrift market has potential, I am cautious and rate TDUP stock as a “hold” until management demonstrates a clear path to profitability. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jan 10
Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As ThredUp Inc. (NASDAQ:TDUP) Shares Dive 26%
ThredUp Inc. ( NASDAQ:TDUP ) shares have retraced a considerable 26% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of...Analysis Article • Nov 02
Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As ThredUp Inc. (NASDAQ:TDUP) Shares Dive 30%
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the ThredUp Inc. ( NASDAQ:TDUP ) share price has dived 30% in the last thirty...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 423 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 12/31/2027 | 383 | -13 | 12 | 24 | 7 |
| 12/31/2026 | 347 | -22 | 4 | 15 | 7 |
| 6/30/2026 | 334 | -22 | 2 | 14 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 321 | -21 | -3 | 10 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 311 | -20 | 0 | 11 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 298 | -23 | 2 | 13 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 278 | -29 | 1 | 11 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 267 | -33 | -2 | 5 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 260 | -40 | -6 | 1 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 211 | -28 | -12 | -8 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 231 | -35 | -14 | -11 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 247 | -45 | -25 | -17 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 259 | -52 | -36 | -23 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 312 | -76 | -47 | -30 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 298 | -82 | -70 | -42 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 292 | -91 | -86 | -50 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 288 | -92 | -95 | -52 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 290 | -91 | -102 | -58 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 285 | -82 | -89 | -51 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 269 | -68 | -71 | -43 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 252 | -63 | -55 | -35 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 222 | -62 | -49 | -28 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 206 | -59 | -44 | -27 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 193 | -51 | -28 | -9 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 186 | -48 | -39 | -19 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 164 | -38 | N/A | -10 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 130 | -34 | N/A | -22 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: TDUP is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Earnings vs Market: TDUP is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
High Growth Earnings: TDUP is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: TDUP's revenue (9.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (13.4% per year).
High Growth Revenue: TDUP's revenue (9.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if TDUP's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/09 22:20 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/09 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
ThredUp Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Brian McNamara | Berenberg |
| Alexandra Kasper Steiger | Goldman Sachs |
| Seth Sigman | Guggenheim Securities, LLC |