Stock Analysis

Pinduoduo (NASDAQ:PDD) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

NasdaqGS:PDD
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Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. So on that note, Pinduoduo (NASDAQ:PDD) looks quite promising in regards to its trends of return on capital.

What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Pinduoduo:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.079 = CN¥6.9b ÷ (CN¥181b - CN¥94b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).

Therefore, Pinduoduo has an ROCE of 7.9%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Online Retail industry average of 12%.

Check out our latest analysis for Pinduoduo

roce
NasdaqGS:PDD Return on Capital Employed April 29th 2022

In the above chart we have measured Pinduoduo's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

So How Is Pinduoduo's ROCE Trending?

We're delighted to see that Pinduoduo is reaping rewards from its investments and is now generating some pre-tax profits. The company was generating losses five years ago, but now it's earning 7.9% which is a sight for sore eyes. In addition to that, Pinduoduo is employing 24,283% more capital than previously which is expected of a company that's trying to break into profitability. We like this trend, because it tells us the company has profitable reinvestment opportunities available to it, and if it continues going forward that can lead to a multi-bagger performance.

One more thing to note, Pinduoduo has decreased current liabilities to 52% of total assets over this period, which effectively reduces the amount of funding from suppliers or short-term creditors. So shareholders would be pleased that the growth in returns has mostly come from underlying business performance. Nevertheless, there are some potential risks the company is bearing with current liabilities that high, so just keep that in mind.

The Bottom Line

Overall, Pinduoduo gets a big tick from us thanks in most part to the fact that it is now profitable and is reinvesting in its business. And with a respectable 64% awarded to those who held the stock over the last three years, you could argue that these developments are starting to get the attention they deserve. Therefore, we think it would be worth your time to check if these trends are going to continue.

On a final note, we've found 1 warning sign for Pinduoduo that we think you should be aware of.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.