Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By PDD Holdings Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PDD) 25% Share Price Surge

NasdaqGS:PDD
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Despite an already strong run, PDD Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:PDD) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 72% in the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider PDD Holdings as a stock to avoid entirely with its 30.1x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

PDD Holdings certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for PDD Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:PDD Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 22nd 2023
Keen to find out how analysts think PDD Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like PDD Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 52% last year. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 23% during the coming year according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10% growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why PDD Holdings is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From PDD Holdings' P/E?

The strong share price surge has got PDD Holdings' P/E rushing to great heights as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of PDD Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for PDD Holdings you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.