Stock Analysis

Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Newegg Commerce, Inc. (NASDAQ:NEGG) Shares Dive 25%

NasdaqCM:NEGG
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Newegg Commerce, Inc. (NASDAQ:NEGG) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 65% loss during that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Newegg Commerce's P/S ratio of 0.1x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Specialty Retail industry in the United States is also close to 0.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Newegg Commerce

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:NEGG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 28th 2024

What Does Newegg Commerce's Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, Newegg Commerce's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Newegg Commerce will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Newegg Commerce's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Newegg Commerce's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 10% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 43% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 4.3% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Newegg Commerce is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does Newegg Commerce's P/S Mean For Investors?

Following Newegg Commerce's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our look at Newegg Commerce revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Newegg Commerce (1 is potentially serious!) that we have uncovered.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Newegg Commerce might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.