Stock Analysis

Slowing Rates Of Return At Kirkland's (NASDAQ:KIRK) Leave Little Room For Excitement

NasdaqGS:KIRK
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Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Although, when we looked at Kirkland's (NASDAQ:KIRK), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Kirkland's is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.057 = US$13m ÷ (US$336m - US$113m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to April 2022).

So, Kirkland's has an ROCE of 5.7%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Specialty Retail industry average of 18%.

Check out our latest analysis for Kirkland's

roce
NasdaqGS:KIRK Return on Capital Employed July 25th 2022

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Kirkland's compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Kirkland's here for free.

What Does the ROCE Trend For Kirkland's Tell Us?

There hasn't been much to report for Kirkland's' returns and its level of capital employed because both metrics have been steady for the past five years. It's not uncommon to see this when looking at a mature and stable business that isn't re-investing its earnings because it has likely passed that phase of the business cycle. With that in mind, unless investment picks up again in the future, we wouldn't expect Kirkland's to be a multi-bagger going forward.

What We Can Learn From Kirkland's' ROCE

In a nutshell, Kirkland's has been trudging along with the same returns from the same amount of capital over the last five years. Since the stock has declined 64% over the last five years, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.

On a final note, we found 6 warning signs for Kirkland's (3 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.

While Kirkland's may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kirkland's might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.