Five Below (NASDAQ:FIVE) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Five Below (NASDAQ:FIVE) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

Advertisement

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Five Below is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.12 = US$348m ÷ (US$3.5b - US$649m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to July 2023).

Thus, Five Below has an ROCE of 12%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 13% generated by the Specialty Retail industry.

See our latest analysis for Five Below

roce
NasdaqGS:FIVE Return on Capital Employed October 5th 2023

In the above chart we have measured Five Below's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Five Below here for free.

What Can We Tell From Five Below's ROCE Trend?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Five Below, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 30%, but since then they've fallen to 12%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.

The Key Takeaway

While returns have fallen for Five Below in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. And the stock has followed suit returning a meaningful 42% to shareholders over the last five years. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.

Five Below could be trading at an attractive price in other respects, so you might find our free intrinsic value estimation on our platform quite valuable.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts

Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.

• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies

Or build your own from over 50 metrics.

Explore Now for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

M
mitchell_lawler
mitchell_lawler

A lot of companies don't have a moat, they have customers too busy to switch. AI agents could change that.

149
L
LeverageIsLovely

Meta built an agent that saves you time so you can spend it on Meta.

s
sarah_c5otv

It can only change a little. Adopting AI agents will in itself be a HUGE friction for many.

Andrew Legget

Are social media stocks the new Big Tobacco?

Are social media stocks the new Big Tobacco? cover
Greater regulatory scrutiny is catching up with digital platforms, posing a rising risk for social media stocks. But as Big Tobacco discovered, that's not always a bad outcome for shareholders.
14

About NasdaqGS:FIVE

Five Below

Operates as a specialty value retailer in the United States.

Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

CE
Ceazar
SPAI logo
Ceazar on Sparc AI ·

When GPS fails: this small cap is fixing a $54B drone problem

Fair Value:CA$5.2537.3% undervalued
198 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
30 users have liked this narrative
CO
composite32
Emerging Author
AROC logo
composite32 on Archrock ·

AI Needs Power. Power Needs Gas. Gas Needs Compression: The Archrock Investment Thesis

Fair Value:US$44.8830.8% undervalued
21 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
2 users have liked this narrative
JO
John_Eric
Emerging Author
AEIS logo
John_Eric on Advanced Energy Industries ·

AEIS Is Firing on Every Cylinder. My Problem Is the Safety Factor.

Fair Value:US$567.8655.6% undervalued
13 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
7 users have liked this narrative
IS
LRCX logo
isidrohg on Lam Research ·

The Memory Shortage Is Lam's Order Book — Whether It Persists Or Resolves

Fair Value:US$423.8536.5% undervalued
20 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
6 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

LU
LunaRodas
ALMU logo
LunaRodas on Aeluma ·

ALMU | Aeluma, Inc.: What They Said vs. What They Did

Fair Value:US$7.6475.8% overvalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
RE
RedCandleRx
APP logo
RedCandleRx on AppLovin ·

Why the Market Still Misprices AppLovin as Just a Gaming Network

Fair Value:US$50735.6% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
BR
Brunhilde_Wagner
CPRT logo
Brunhilde_Wagner on Copart ·

Compounder to Cash Generator in Real Time

Fair Value:US$2523.3% overvalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$302.8329.4% undervalued
1462 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
35 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
GOOGL logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on Alphabet ·

GOOGL: AI Platform Expansion And Cloud Demand Will Support Durable Performance Amid Competitive Pressures

Fair Value:US$427.8919.9% undervalued
1635 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
19 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
AMZN logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on Amazon.com ·

AMZN: Acceleration In Cloud And AI Will Drive Margin Expansion Ahead

Fair Value:US$32724.8% undervalued
1648 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
16 users have liked this narrative

Trending Discussion

AN
TPG0 logo
anthony_x0j2w on Platform Group SE KGaA ·

Hello,(I am a shareholder).I spent the summer investigating in whatever I was able to find in the press, the trustee, or legal, and comparing it to FS Benner's declaration/transcripts:press: MM has a tendancy to use facts, modify them and turn them the way they want: 100% of their claims against TPG0 is traçable factually, 80% is flawed and interpreted. Example are numerous: 11M loans banks to be paid seems right, but it has not been an issue at all, it has been paid in full. (and it happens all the time in every business...); the previous HR becoming a financial director in the article herself being attacked by TPG on the legal side; the wrong address of curator (if truly announced by TPG).Trustee: according to my research (which can be incomplete) no communication to the Nordic trustee (hereby, bond holders) has been done on a, indebtedness (late payment) > 1M€, which is their obligation by contract (clause 14.d - https://corporate.the-platform-group.com/bond/) => this is a sign of a huge lie and fraud, or the sign that there is no indebtedness > 1M€ over the whole TPG group.Legal: still awaiting for an answer, probable that I won't get it.VALUATIONYou can spent hours working the fundamentals, if they're flawed...the thesis falls.Anyway, I always substracts the badwill (that I consider non-current - you have it in the CFS) & non-controlling interests from my valuation:Earnings ~22MFCF ~40M€The financial statements are not the issue here, we are more on an cheap option on the sincerity of the accounts that a real valuation. Unfortunately, these are unverifiable elements, hence the low price./!\ Careful:the accounts are consolidated and skip the subsidiaries issues...Careful with the business model: TPG0 is a financial holding that acquire subsidiaries, hold the debt, and has no operations. 100% of the Cash Flow comes from subs' dividends => it is a risk here, more a plumber risk than an operational one, but nevertheless...The auditor is too small, and managed by the same firm than before, with 140K€/year commission => it's too low, nobody external really reviewed what Benner and his team are doing internallycapital increase do not go through the CFS, but through change in equity AND equity in the BSIf the equity stays low too long, the WACC increase will be unbearable (I have a 30% global, with a 118% on equity): diluting is expensive => TPG machine can stay broken for a while.Most of the people I talk with never saw this, while this is ESSENTIAL to Benner's business model.SEVERAL EVENTS THAT COULD CHANGE:AEP is being audited by KPMG: if Benner plays the "we will propose KPMG to our shareholders BEOY", this can increase the trust in him significantly/KPMG (or other) to validate the 2026 IFRS accounts & having a word on HGB's: though still consolidated, at least we'll know...AEP being eventually acquired: while it carries a high integration risk due to its size, they talked about it so many times, that trust goes with it.Without this combination of event, the equity is doomed to stay at this level, IMO.Do not forget to also follow the bond: with TPG's announced safe harbor plan for buyback (25% of daily exchange), it is also interesting to check this illiquid and retail market: https://live.deutsche-boerse.com/bond/no0013256834-the-platform-group-ag-8-875-24-28?mic=XFRA

1
|
0