Stock Analysis

Is It Time To Consider Buying National Vision Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:EYE)?

NasdaqGS:EYE
Source: Shutterstock

While National Vision Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:EYE) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NASDAQGS, rising to highs of US$23.81 and falling to the lows of US$14.76. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether National Vision Holdings' current trading price of US$15.00 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at National Vision Holdings’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for National Vision Holdings

What Is National Vision Holdings Worth?

According to our valuation model, National Vision Holdings seems to be fairly priced at around 1.85% above our intrinsic value, which means if you buy National Vision Holdings today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $14.73, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since National Vision Holdings’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

Can we expect growth from National Vision Holdings?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:EYE Earnings and Revenue Growth May 24th 2024

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of National Vision Holdings, it is expected to deliver a negative revenue growth of -5.8% over the next couple of years, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? EYE seems fairly priced right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on EYE for a while, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The stock appears to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help gel your views on EYE should the price fluctuate below its true value.

It can be quite valuable to consider what analysts expect for National Vision Holdings from their most recent forecasts. Luckily, you can check out what analysts are forecasting by clicking here.

If you are no longer interested in National Vision Holdings, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether National Vision Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.