National Vision Holdings, Inc.

NasdaqGS:EYE Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.5b

National Vision Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

National Vision Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 27% and 5.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 25.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.5% in 3 years.

Key information

27.0%

Earnings growth rate

25.69%

EPS growth rate

Specialty Retail earnings growth10.0%
Revenue growth rate5.4%
Future return on equity10.49%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated12 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Jun 03

EYE: Store Openings And Margin Improvement Will Support Long Term Upside

Analysts are keeping their $39.00 price target for National Vision Holdings unchanged, citing only modest shifts in discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin assumptions and a slightly lower future P/E as reasons for maintaining their view. What's in the News National Vision Holdings reiterated earnings guidance for the 52 weeks ending January 2, 2027, with expected net revenue in a range of US$2.033b to US$2.091b.
Narrative Update • May 20

EYE: Store Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Long Term Margin Outlook

Analysts have maintained their $39.00 price target for National Vision Holdings. The updated view reflects slightly different assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that offset each other overall.
Narrative Update • Apr 29

EYE: Long Dated Buyback Authorization Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have updated their price target for National Vision Holdings to $35.27. This reflects small adjustments to assumptions around the discount rate and future P/E used in their valuation work.
Narrative Update • Apr 15

EYE: Share Repurchases And Store Openings Will Support A Fairly Balanced Outlook

Analysts now see slightly less upside for National Vision Holdings, trimming their fair value estimate from $27.00 to $26.00 as they factor in a modestly higher discount rate, slightly lower revenue growth assumptions, a small improvement in profit margin, and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News The Board of Directors authorized a share repurchase plan on March 2, 2026, allowing the company to buy back its common stock (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Mar 31

EYE: New Buyback Authorization Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts now maintain their fair value estimate for National Vision Holdings at $35.27 per share, making only minor refinements to assumptions such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to reflect updated modeling inputs rather than a change in overall view. What's in the News The Board of Directors authorized a new share repurchase plan on March 2, 2026, setting the framework for future buybacks (company announcement).
Seeking Alpha • Mar 31

National Vision Holdings: Growth Outlook Got Better

Summary National Vision Holdings is no longer a turnaround story—FY2025 results show robust growth, margin expansion, and improved customer mix. Managed care now drives 42% of revenue, with higher-value cohorts and premiumization strategies fueling sustainable, higher-margin growth. Premiumization extends beyond frames to lenses, targeting higher ticket sizes and margins through new products and increased premium lens penetration. EYE’s remote hybrid exam model addresses exam capacity constraints, unlocking further growth potential; shares trade at the low end of their historical valuation range. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Mar 17

EYE: Share Repurchases And New Store Openings Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have lifted their price target on National Vision Holdings to about $35.27 from roughly $32.82, citing updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that they view as better reflecting the company’s current risk and earnings profile. What's in the News The Board of Directors authorized a share repurchase plan, with approval granted on March 2, 2026 (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Mar 03

EYE: Reaffirmed Guidance And Margin Assumptions Will Support Fairly Balanced Outlook

Analysts have maintained their $27.00 price target for National Vision Holdings, citing only modest changes to their underlying assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that balance each other out in the updated model. What's in the News National Vision Holdings reaffirmed earnings guidance for the 53 weeks ending January 3, 2026, indicating that management is maintaining its outlook.
Narrative Update • Feb 17

EYE: Guidance Reaffirmation And Margin Outlook Will Shape Fairly Balanced Prospects

Analysts maintained their average price target for National Vision Holdings at $27.00, citing updated assumptions that include a slightly lower discount rate, modestly higher revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and a marginally lower future P/E multiple, which together still support the prior valuation level. What's in the News National Vision Holdings reaffirmed earnings guidance for the 53 weeks ending January 3, 2026, keeping its outlook unchanged for the period.
Narrative Update • Feb 03

EYE: Long Term Margin Expansion Plans Will Support Bullish Outlook

Analysts now see fair value for National Vision Holdings at $39, up from $36. They cite revised assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple as key drivers of the updated price target.
Narrative Update • Jan 20

EYE: Long-Term Store Expansion And Margins Will Face Execution Risks

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for National Vision Holdings from US$26.00 to US$27.00, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, a slightly adjusted discount rate, and the future P/E outlook. What's in the News Reaffirmed earnings guidance for the 53 weeks ending January 3, 2026, with expected net revenue of US$1.970b to US$1.988b (company guidance).
Narrative Update • Jan 06

EYE: Long Term Store Expansion Plans Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target for National Vision Holdings to about $32.82 per share from roughly $32.90, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, projected revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Company issued earnings guidance for fiscal 2025 through fiscal 2030 and for fiscal 2026, with expectations for annual net revenue growth in the high single digits from the 2025 base period (Corporate guidance).
Analysis Article • Jan 04

National Vision Holdings (NASDAQ:EYE) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Narrative Update • Dec 23

EYE: Margin Expansion Outlook Will Eventually Prove Unsustainable

Analysts have raised their price target on National Vision Holdings from approximately 22 dollars to 26 dollars. This reflects increased confidence in the company’s ability to expand profit margins despite slightly lower projected revenue growth and a more modest future price to earnings multiple.
Narrative Update • Dec 09

EYE: Expansion Plan And Raised Revenue Outlook Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on National Vision Holdings to 32.90 dollars from 32.90 dollars, reflecting slightly higher assumptions for discount rate, long term revenue growth, profit margin, and future earnings multiples. What's in the News Reaffirmed long term outlook for fiscal 2025 through 2030, targeting high single digit annual net revenue growth, including a planning scenario for fiscal 2026 with similar growth expectations (Corporate Guidance).
Narrative Update • Nov 25

EYE: Accelerated Store Expansion Will Drive Outperformance Through 2030

Analysts have raised their price target for National Vision Holdings from $29.80 to $32.90. They cite improved revenue growth forecasts and higher expected profit margins.
Narrative Update • Nov 05

EYE: Shares Likely To Outperform As Discount Rate Edges Lower

Narrative Update on National Vision Holdings: Analyst Price Target Revision Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for National Vision Holdings at $29.80. They cited minor adjustments in growth and profitability outlooks, which only modestly affected underlying financial assumptions.
Narrative Update • Oct 22

Analysts Lift Price Target for National Vision Holdings Following Guidance and Brand Updates

Narrative Update on National Vision Holdings Analysts have slightly raised their price target for National Vision Holdings to $29.80, up from $29.15. This change reflects small adjustments to growth assumptions and discount rates.
Narrative Update • Oct 08

Managed Care Expansion And Digital Trends Will Unlock Value

Analysts have raised their price target for National Vision Holdings from $28.85 to $29.15. This change reflects improved outlooks around revenue growth and profit margins.
Analysis Article • Jul 29

Is There Now An Opportunity In National Vision Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:EYE)?

National Vision Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:EYE ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention...
Analysis Article • Jul 02

National Vision Holdings (NASDAQ:EYE) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital

When we're researching a company, it's sometimes hard to find the warning signs, but there are some financial metrics...
Analysis Article • Jun 17

Is National Vision Holdings (NASDAQ:EYE) A Risky Investment?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article • May 30

Is National Vision Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:EYE) Worth US$20.0 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, National Vision Holdings fair value estimate is US$15.45...
User avatar
New Narrative • May 27

Digital Segmentation And Premium Offerings Will Drive Future Growth

Targeting higher-value segments and investing in digital experiences drives customer growth, retention, and margin improvement as vision needs increase across demographics.
Analysis Article • May 08

Revenues Tell The Story For National Vision Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:EYE) As Its Stock Soars 38%

National Vision Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:EYE ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 38% share price jump...
Analysis Article • Apr 22

Is There Now An Opportunity In National Vision Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:EYE)?

National Vision Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:EYE ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention...
Analysis Article • Mar 20

National Vision Holdings (NASDAQ:EYE) Will Be Looking To Turn Around Its Returns

To avoid investing in a business that's in decline, there's a few financial metrics that can provide early indications...
Analysis Article • Feb 15

Here's Why National Vision Holdings (NASDAQ:EYE) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article • Dec 18

National Vision Holdings (NASDAQ:EYE) Is Finding It Tricky To Allocate Its Capital

To avoid investing in a business that's in decline, there's a few financial metrics that can provide early indications...
Analysis Article • Nov 26

Pinning Down National Vision Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:EYE) P/S Is Difficult Right Now

It's not a stretch to say that National Vision Holdings, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:EYE ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x...
Analysis Article • Nov 02

Why National Vision Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:EYE) Could Be Worth Watching

National Vision Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:EYE ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a decent share price...
Analysis Article • Aug 09

Some Confidence Is Lacking In National Vision Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:EYE) P/S

It's not a stretch to say that National Vision Holdings, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:EYE ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x...
Analysis Article • Jul 18

Is National Vision Holdings (NASDAQ:EYE) Using Too Much Debt?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Seeking Alpha • May 31

National Vision Holdings: Strong Catalyst To Help Business Achieve High End Of Guidance

Summary My recommendation is a buy due to the rollout of remote exam capabilities, which is expected to drive same-store sales and improve valuation. EYE is a leading optical retailer in the US, focusing on value products for lower-end customers. The introduction of remote exam technology in Texas could significantly improve operations and contribute to high single-digit same-store sales growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article • May 24

Is It Time To Consider Buying National Vision Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:EYE)?

While National Vision Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:EYE ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:EYE - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20282,372102N/AN/A4
12/31/20272,1837611520011
12/31/20262,0645310216811
4/4/20262,02147106176N/A
1/3/20261,9873073146N/A
9/27/20251,921-383163N/A
6/28/20251,886-1557145N/A
3/29/20251,851-2546142N/A
12/28/20241,823-2738134N/A
9/28/20241,807-1227123N/A
6/29/20241,794-436136N/A
3/30/20241,774016123N/A
12/30/20231,756458173N/A
9/30/20231,804942151N/A
7/1/20231,8652131143N/A
4/1/20231,9432733146N/A
12/31/20221,645376119N/A
10/1/20222,0145824146N/A
7/2/20222,0338745157N/A
4/2/20222,073115101208N/A
1/1/20222,080128163259N/A
10/2/20212,098157170265N/A
7/3/20212,066151264353N/A
4/3/20211,77670166247N/A
1/2/20211,71236158235N/A
9/26/20201,6175132198N/A
6/27/20201,563-2942117N/A
3/28/20201,73325N/A168N/A
12/28/20191,72433N/A165N/A
9/28/20191,67810N/A162N/A
6/29/20191,63414N/A146N/A
3/30/20191,59017N/A112N/A
12/29/20181,53724N/A107N/A
9/29/20181,50368N/A110N/A
6/30/20181,46164N/A102N/A
3/31/20181,41351N/A122N/A
12/30/20171,37543N/A90N/A
9/30/20171,3317N/A103N/A
7/1/20171,2869N/A101N/A
4/1/20171,25721N/A112N/A
12/31/20161,19613N/A98N/A
1/2/20161,0634N/A83N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: EYE's forecast earnings growth (27% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: EYE's earnings (27% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (18.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: EYE's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: EYE's revenue (5.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (12.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: EYE's revenue (5.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: EYE's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.5%).

Discover growth companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/15 11:16
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/12 00:00
Earnings2026/04/04
Annual Earnings2026/01/03

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

National Vision Holdings, Inc. is covered by 13 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Adrienne Yih-TennantBarclays
Alexander MarocciaBerenberg
Robert OhmesBofA Global Research