Dollar Tree (DLTR) Stock Overview
Operates retail discount stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands in the United States and Canada. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 5/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 5/6 |
| Financial Health | 3/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
DLTR Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Dollar Tree, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$97.11 |
| 52 Week High | US$142.40 |
| 52 Week Low | US$82.83 |
| Beta | 0.74 |
| 1 Month Change | -10.66% |
| 3 Month Change | -17.42% |
| 1 Year Change | 15.21% |
| 3 Year Change | -37.54% |
| 5 Year Change | -16.46% |
| Change since IPO | 8,209.07% |
Recent News & Updates
Dollar Tree: Benefiting From Consumer Stress And Iran Tailwinds (Upgrade)
Apr 27
DLTR: Persistent Traffic Weakness Will Likely Undermine Multi Price Comp Benefits
Narrative Update on Dollar Tree The revised analyst price target for Dollar Tree reflects a mix of modest upward and downward moves, ranging roughly from $80 to $165. Analysts are balancing improving store execution, multi price initiatives, and in-line long-term guidance against ongoing concerns about traffic trends and market multiple compression.DLTR: Persistent Traffic Weakness Will Likely Pressure Margins And Expectations
Dollar Tree's analyst fair value estimate has been updated from $75.58 to $80.00 as analysts weigh mixed price target revisions, ongoing traffic headwinds, and expectations for steadier store standards and inventory execution. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Dollar Tree reflect a split view, with some analysts lifting price targets modestly while others trim expectations or move to more cautious ratings.
DLTR: Store Upgrades And Multi Price Rollout Will Support Future Upside
The analyst fair value estimate for Dollar Tree has moved to $125.26, with analysts generally pointing to improving store standards, ongoing inventory and value adjustments, and mixed views on traffic and longer-term comparable sales stability as the drivers behind their updated price targets. Analyst Commentary Street research around Dollar Tree is mixed, with price targets spread across a wide range and ratings running from Buy to Underperform.Recent updates
Dollar Tree: Benefiting From Consumer Stress And Iran Tailwinds (Upgrade)
Apr 27DLTR: Persistent Traffic Weakness Will Likely Undermine Multi Price Comp Benefits
Narrative Update on Dollar Tree The revised analyst price target for Dollar Tree reflects a mix of modest upward and downward moves, ranging roughly from $80 to $165. Analysts are balancing improving store execution, multi price initiatives, and in-line long-term guidance against ongoing concerns about traffic trends and market multiple compression.DLTR: Persistent Traffic Weakness Will Likely Pressure Margins And Expectations
Dollar Tree's analyst fair value estimate has been updated from $75.58 to $80.00 as analysts weigh mixed price target revisions, ongoing traffic headwinds, and expectations for steadier store standards and inventory execution. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Dollar Tree reflect a split view, with some analysts lifting price targets modestly while others trim expectations or move to more cautious ratings.DLTR: Store Upgrades And Multi Price Rollout Will Support Future Upside
The analyst fair value estimate for Dollar Tree has moved to $125.26, with analysts generally pointing to improving store standards, ongoing inventory and value adjustments, and mixed views on traffic and longer-term comparable sales stability as the drivers behind their updated price targets. Analyst Commentary Street research around Dollar Tree is mixed, with price targets spread across a wide range and ratings running from Buy to Underperform.DLTR: Future Margin Pressure Will Likely Challenge High Expectations
The analyst price target for Dollar Tree has been adjusted modestly higher to reflect a fair value move from $73.17 to $75.58. Analysts are weighing mixed ratings changes alongside updated views on earnings growth potential, a revised revenue outlook, lower assumed profit margins, and a more conservative future P/E multiple.
DLTR: Multi Price Rollout And Buybacks Will Drive Future Upside
The analyst price target for Dollar Tree has moved from $160 to $165, with analysts tying the change to expectations for the company's multi price rollout, a 12% earnings growth outlook, and a view that the post Family Dollar divestment profile may support a higher P/E multiple as well as slightly stronger revenue growth and margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a clear split in opinion on Dollar Tree, but the most optimistic voices are centering on the same themes you are seeing in the higher price targets, the multi price rollout, and the post Family Dollar profile.DLTR: Higher Earnings Power And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Dollar Tree from $108.00 to $160.00, citing refreshed models that reflect revised discount rate assumptions, updated revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and slightly higher future P/E multiples, along with a mix of recent price target cuts, downgrades, and raises across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Dollar Tree reflects a split tape, with some firms taking a more cautious stance while others see room for upside as the company executes on its plans and the consumer environment evolves.DLTR: SNAP Headwinds And Mixed Consumer Outlook Likely To Cap Future Upside
Analysts modestly lifted their Dollar Tree fair value estimate from $119.17 to $122.26 as mixed but generally supportive price target revisions, including higher targets from several firms alongside fresh downgrades and caution around lower income consumers and SNAP exposure, led to slightly adjusted growth, margin, discount rate, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Dollar Tree reflects a split view, with some firms lifting price targets and others turning more cautious as they reassess execution risks and the spending power of lower income shoppers.DLTR: Future Returns Will Be Constrained By SNAP Benefit Reductions
Narrative Update on Dollar Tree The analyst price target for Dollar Tree in our model has edged higher by about US$1, reflecting slightly adjusted fair value and discount rate inputs as analysts weigh mixed sector views, recent target cuts toward US$103 and US$126, and more constructive targets up to US$149 that factor in potential consumer tax savings and rate cuts, alongside SNAP related headwinds for value focused shoppers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Dollar Tree reflects a split view, with some bullish analysts raising targets and others turning more cautious as they reassess risks tied to the lower income shopper and government benefits.DLTR: Future Returns Will Balance SNAP Pressures With Execution And Competitive Risks
Analysts have nudged their Dollar Tree price target slightly higher to about $118 per share, reflecting modestly better long term margin and valuation expectations, even as they flag mounting pressure on lower income shoppers from reduced SNAP benefits and intensifying value competition among discounters. Analyst Commentary Analyst views on Dollar Tree remain mixed, with more cautious commentary emerging even as some on the Street acknowledge operational improvements and long term margin potential.Market Participants Recognise Dollar Tree, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DLTR) Earnings Pushing Shares 25% Higher
Dec 16
DLTR: Future Performance Will Reflect SNAP Headwinds And Execution Risks
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Dollar Tree higher to approximately $115 from about $107 per share, citing a lower discount rate, modestly improved profit margin expectations, and clearer, though timing-uncertain, earnings power, despite mounting headwinds for lower income consumers and SNAP exposed retailers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more balanced, and in some cases cautious, stance on Dollar Tree, with views diverging on the pace and durability of earnings improvement as macro and company specific risks build.DLTR: Execution Risks And Consumer Pressures Will Shape Performance Amidst Industry Shifts
Dollar Tree's analyst price target has been modestly reduced to $107 from $108. This reflects analyst concerns about a more challenging outlook for lower-income consumers and increased competition among discount retailers.DLTR: Macro Headwinds And SNAP Benefit Cuts Will Impact Earnings Outlook Ahead
Dollar Tree's analyst price target saw a modest reduction of less than $0.10, as analysts cite continued macro headwinds, operational uncertainties, and shifting valuation multiples for the slight adjustment. Analyst Commentary Analysts remain divided on Dollar Tree's prospects, with both bullish and bearish narratives present following recent developments.Analysts Remain Split on Dollar Tree Outlook as Valuation Slips Amid Mixed Signals
Dollar Tree's analyst price target has been revised slightly lower, from around $109.91 to $108.35, as analysts weigh solid recent results and sales growth while considering lingering concerns about margin visibility and operational execution. Analyst Commentary Analysts remain divided in their outlook on Dollar Tree, with recent commentary reflecting both confidence in the company's growth drivers and caution regarding the challenges ahead.Multi-Price Rollout Will Broaden Retail Opportunities
Dollar Tree’s analyst price target has been modestly reduced to $109.91 from $112.30, as analysts cite solid sales growth and improving margins but remain cautious due to ongoing margin pressures as well as uncertainty around tariffs and operating costs. Analyst Commentary Recent Street Research highlights a diverse range of views on Dollar Tree's outlook, with both bullish and bearish analysts weighing in on valuation, operational progress, and growth strategies following the company's earnings report and guidance update.Core Focus And 30 Conversions Will Boost Efficiency
Upward analyst revisions for Dollar Tree reflect confidence in continued sales momentum, successful multi-price strategies, and effective tariff mitigation despite ongoing macro risks, resulting in a modest increase in the consensus price target from $109.13 to $110.43. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight strong comparable sales momentum, driven by increased traffic and successful multi-price and merchandising strategies.Dollar Tree, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DLTR) Business Is Trailing The Market But Its Shares Aren't
Aug 21What Is Dollar Tree, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DLTR) Share Price Doing?
Jul 29Returns At Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR) Are On The Way Up
Jul 14Dollar Tree Goes It Alone
Mar 26Family Dollar Spin-Off: Dollar Tree's Path To Recovery
Feb 13Dollar Tree Stores: Short-Term Concerns But Still A Buy
Jan 03Dollar Tree: A High Risk, High Return Contrarian Play
Dec 09Sell Dollar Tree Heading Into Q3 Earnings
Dec 02Dollar Tree: Limited Value As Temu Competition And Import Inflation Destroys Moat
Nov 19Dollar Tree Has Become Too Cheap To Ignore
Nov 06Dollar Tree: Waiting For A Family Dollar Strategic Decision
Oct 16
From Store Revamps To IT Modernization Boosting Growth And Margins
Multi-price expansion and accelerated store growth at Dollar Tree aim to capitalize on current economic conditions, suggesting potential revenue growth.Dollar Tree: Finding Value In Dollar Store Dumpsters
Sep 23Dollar Tree Gets Crushed, Attracting The Sharks
Sep 04Dollar Tree: Stay Calm And Remain Long On This Strong Operator
Jul 17Discount Retailer Dollar Tree Could Benefit By Continued High Inflation
Jun 03Shareholder Returns
| DLTR | US Consumer Retailing | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -6.4% | -0.1% | 0.6% |
| 1Y | 15.2% | 21.2% | 28.7% |
Return vs Industry: DLTR underperformed the US Consumer Retailing industry which returned 18.1% over the past year.
Return vs Market: DLTR underperformed the US Market which returned 27.6% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| DLTR volatility | |
|---|---|
| DLTR Average Weekly Movement | 5.5% |
| Consumer Retailing Industry Average Movement | 5.3% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.3% |
Stable Share Price: DLTR has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: DLTR's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1986 | 94,107 | Mike Creedon | www.dollartree.com |
Dollar Tree, Inc. operates retail discount stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands in the United States and Canada. The company offers consumable merchandise comprising everyday consumables, such as household paper and chemicals, food, candy, health, personal care products, and frozen and refrigerated food; variety merchandise consisting of toys, durable housewares, gifts, stationery, party goods, greeting cards, softlines, arts and crafts supplies, and other items; and seasonal goods, including Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine’s Day merchandise. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Chesapeake, Virginia.
Dollar Tree, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| DLTR fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$19.16b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$1.23b |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$19.41b |
15.6x
P/E Ratio1.0x
P/S RatioIs DLTR overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| DLTR income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$19.41b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$12.29b |
| Gross Profit | US$7.12b |
| Other Expenses | US$5.90b |
| Earnings | US$1.23b |
Last Reported Earnings
Jan 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 6.21 |
| Gross Margin | 36.69% |
| Net Profit Margin | 6.31% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 64.8% |
How did DLTR perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/01 14:44 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/04/30 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/01/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/01/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Dollar Tree, Inc. is covered by 49 analysts. 24 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Will Chien | Accountability Research Corporation |
| Meredith Adler | Barclays |
| Seth Sigman | Barclays |