Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO): Valuation Check After Strategic Board Appointments Signal Growth and Digital Focus
Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) just refreshed its board, adding former Walmart US finance chief Michael Dastugue, Habit Burger & Grill CEO Shannon Hennessy, and technology veteran Clay Johnson, a move investors are watching for its strategic implications.
See our latest analysis for Academy Sports and Outdoors.
The timing of these appointments comes as Academy’s share price has slipped year to date, with a negative year to date share price return but a resilient five year total shareholder return that signals long term momentum remains intact.
If this kind of strategic refresh has you thinking more broadly about where growth and leadership overlap, it might be worth exploring fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.
With shares still below analyst targets despite steady revenue and profit growth, investors now have to decide whether Academy is trading at a discount that underestimates this refreshed board, or whether future growth is already fully priced in.
Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 14.3% Undervalued
With Academy Sports and Outdoors last closing at $49.29 against a narrative fair value of $57.50, the story leans toward meaningful upside grounded in detailed forecasts.
In order for the above numbers to justify the analysts price target, the company would need to trade at a PE ratio of 9.2x on those 2028 earnings, up from 8.8x today. This future PE is lower than the current PE for the US Specialty Retail industry at 18.7x.
Want to see how steady revenue growth, rising margins, and shrinking share count combine into that upside case? The narrative spells out the full math.
Result: Fair Value of $57.50 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, this upside depends on assumptions, while heavier promotions and dependence on higher income shoppers could squeeze margins and stall that growth path.
Find out about the key risks to this Academy Sports and Outdoors narrative.
Build Your Own Academy Sports and Outdoors Narrative
If you see the numbers differently or want to stress test your own assumptions, you can build a complete narrative in just a few minutes: Do it your way.
A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Academy Sports and Outdoors.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Academy Sports and Outdoors might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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