Stock Analysis

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ASO) Share Price

NasdaqGS:ASO
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When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may consider Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. (NASDAQ:ASO) as an attractive investment with its 10.4x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Academy Sports and Outdoors has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Academy Sports and Outdoors

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NasdaqGS:ASO Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 21st 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Academy Sports and Outdoors.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Academy Sports and Outdoors would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 8.3%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 115% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 13% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 10% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it odd that Academy Sports and Outdoors is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Academy Sports and Outdoors' P/E

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Academy Sports and Outdoors' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Academy Sports and Outdoors with six simple checks.

If you're unsure about the strength of Academy Sports and Outdoors' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Academy Sports and Outdoors is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.