Goodman Group Valuation

Is GMGS.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GMGS.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$19.27
Fair Value
16.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: GMGS.F ($22.53) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($19.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GMGS.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GMGS.F?

Key metric: As GMGS.F barely has revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for GMGS.F. This is calculated by dividing GMGS.F's market cap by their current book value.
What is GMGS.F's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio4.1x
BookAU$17.54b
Market CapAU$71.19b

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does GMGS.F's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for GMGS.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2x
PLD Prologis
1.8x5.1%US$100.4b
LINE Lineage
1.4x76.0%US$14.4b
COLD Americold Realty Trust
1.8x52.6%US$6.1b
EGP EastGroup Properties
2.8x9.9%US$7.9b
GMGS.F Goodman Group
4.1x28.0%US$71.2b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: GMGS.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (4.1x) compared to the peer average (2x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does GMGS.F's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Industrial REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GMGS.F 4.1xIndustry Avg. 0.9xNo. of Companies17PB00.61.21.82.43+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: GMGS.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (4.1x) compared to the Global Industrial REITs industry average (0.9x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GMGS.F's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GMGS.F PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio4.1x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GMGS.F's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GMGS.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$22.53
US$24.52
+8.8%
10.5%US$27.00US$17.20n/a11
Jan ’26n/a
US$24.52
0%
10.5%US$27.00US$17.20n/a11
Dec ’25US$27.32
US$24.68
-9.7%
10.7%US$27.57US$17.56n/a11
Nov ’25US$23.70
US$24.52
+3.5%
12.8%US$27.91US$15.80n/a11
Oct ’25US$22.82
US$24.91
+9.2%
12.8%US$28.14US$16.59n/a11
Sep ’25US$21.52
US$22.70
+5.5%
17.7%US$26.68US$13.23n/a12
Aug ’25US$20.69
US$21.78
+5.3%
17.3%US$26.21US$12.99n/a12
Jul ’25US$23.51
US$21.76
-7.5%
17.5%US$26.62US$13.20n/a12
Jun ’25US$23.15
US$21.06
-9.0%
15.9%US$25.24US$13.28n/a12
May ’25US$20.81
US$19.17
-7.9%
15.6%US$22.85US$12.73n/a13
Apr ’25US$21.62
US$19.47
-9.9%
15.4%US$22.93US$13.05n/a13
Mar ’25US$19.79
US$19.04
-3.8%
14.3%US$22.30US$12.95n/a13
Feb ’25US$16.49
US$16.86
+2.3%
8.7%US$18.68US$12.76n/a12
Jan ’25US$17.08
US$16.26
-4.8%
9.4%US$18.69US$12.76n/a12
Dec ’24US$14.95
US$15.95
+6.7%
12.3%US$18.77US$11.46US$27.3213
Nov ’24US$13.16
US$15.07
+14.5%
11.4%US$17.70US$10.94US$23.7013
Oct ’24US$13.67
US$15.39
+12.6%
11.3%US$17.81US$11.02US$22.8213
Sep ’24n/a
US$15.16
0%
11.8%US$18.08US$11.18US$21.5214
Aug ’24US$13.32
US$15.05
+13.0%
10.3%US$16.90US$11.77US$20.6914
Jul ’24US$13.06
US$14.66
+12.3%
9.3%US$16.06US$11.46US$23.5114
Jun ’24US$12.97
US$14.37
+10.8%
9.4%US$15.84US$11.30US$23.1513
May ’24US$12.72
US$14.97
+17.7%
7.2%US$16.16US$12.47US$20.8112
Apr ’24US$12.75
US$14.82
+16.2%
7.7%US$16.04US$12.38US$21.6212
Mar ’24US$13.40
US$14.89
+11.1%
8.2%US$16.28US$12.56US$19.7913
Feb ’24US$14.05
US$15.18
+8.0%
8.6%US$17.48US$12.79US$16.4913
Jan ’24US$11.58
US$14.41
+24.4%
9.5%US$16.61US$12.15US$17.0814
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
US$23.30
Fair Value
3.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/08 18:18
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/08 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Goodman Group is covered by 29 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Russell WrightAPP Securities Pty Ltd.
Benjamin BrayshawBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Nicholas McGarrigleBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited