Prologis Valuation

Is PLD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PLD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PLD ($117.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($164.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PLD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PLD?

Key metric: As PLD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PLD. This is calculated by dividing PLD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PLD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio35.4x
EarningsUS$3.08b
Market CapUS$110.96b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PLD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PLD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.2x
REXR Rexford Industrial Realty
35.6x12.4%US$9.8b
EGP EastGroup Properties
36.9x10.0%US$8.6b
FR First Industrial Realty Trust
23.2x-6.1%US$7.4b
TRNO Terreno Realty
37x9.9%US$6.1b
PLD Prologis
35.4x4.1%US$111.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PLD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.4x) compared to the peer average (33.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PLD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Industrial REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PLD 35.4xIndustry Avg. 19.5xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PLD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.4x) compared to the Global Industrial REITs industry average (19.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PLD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PLD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35.4x
Fair PE Ratio40.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PLD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PLD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$117.80
US$132.15
+12.2%
7.6%US$154.00US$119.00n/a20
Nov ’25US$113.40
US$133.85
+18.0%
6.8%US$154.00US$120.00n/a20
Oct ’25US$124.61
US$135.00
+8.3%
6.9%US$154.00US$120.00n/a21
Sep ’25US$127.82
US$134.81
+5.5%
7.1%US$154.00US$120.00n/a21
Aug ’25US$127.72
US$135.55
+6.1%
8.6%US$156.00US$117.00n/a20
Jul ’25US$111.95
US$130.76
+16.8%
8.6%US$154.00US$112.00n/a21
Jun ’25US$110.49
US$130.95
+18.5%
8.4%US$154.00US$112.00n/a21
May ’25US$101.88
US$133.76
+31.3%
8.7%US$154.00US$112.00n/a21
Apr ’25US$127.92
US$144.10
+12.6%
5.3%US$163.00US$128.00n/a21
Mar ’25US$134.60
US$144.41
+7.3%
5.9%US$163.00US$125.00n/a22
Feb ’25US$130.44
US$142.73
+9.4%
6.6%US$163.00US$125.00n/a22
Jan ’25US$133.30
US$137.09
+2.8%
8.3%US$157.00US$119.00n/a22
Dec ’24US$118.26
US$133.36
+12.8%
7.3%US$154.00US$119.00n/a22
Nov ’24US$101.60
US$134.14
+32.0%
7.7%US$154.00US$119.00US$113.4022
Oct ’24US$112.21
US$144.64
+28.9%
9.5%US$193.00US$124.00US$124.6122
Sep ’24US$124.59
US$141.95
+13.9%
6.4%US$162.00US$124.00US$127.8222
Aug ’24US$124.18
US$141.73
+14.1%
6.4%US$162.00US$124.00US$127.7222
Jul ’24US$122.63
US$141.55
+15.4%
7.1%US$170.00US$124.00US$111.9522
Jun ’24US$122.64
US$144.17
+17.6%
9.9%US$193.00US$124.00US$110.4923
May ’24US$122.40
US$143.58
+17.3%
9.8%US$193.00US$124.00US$101.8824
Apr ’24US$124.77
US$141.43
+13.4%
9.6%US$193.00US$124.00US$127.9223
Mar ’24US$121.13
US$141.18
+16.6%
10.1%US$193.00US$124.00US$134.6022
Feb ’24US$130.90
US$141.05
+7.8%
10.3%US$193.00US$124.00US$130.4421
Jan ’24US$112.73
US$137.38
+21.9%
12.2%US$193.00US$117.00US$133.3021
Dec ’23US$117.10
US$135.38
+15.6%
12.8%US$193.00US$117.00US$118.2621
Nov ’23US$108.55
US$135.00
+24.4%
13.3%US$193.00US$117.00US$101.6021

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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