First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc.

NYSE:FR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.8b

First Industrial Realty Trust Valuation

Is FR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FR ($50.08) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($93.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FR?

Key metric: As FR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FR. This is calculated by dividing FR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.5x
EarningsUS$308.11m
Market CapUS$6.85b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average34.1x
STAG STAG Industrial
34.2x2.8%US$6.2b
EGP EastGroup Properties
34.2x10.3%US$8.0b
TRNO Terreno Realty
35.6x8.9%US$5.9b
REXR Rexford Industrial Realty
32.4x12.3%US$8.9b
FR First Industrial Realty Trust
21.5x-6.3%US$6.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.5x) compared to the peer average (34.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Industrial REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FR 21.5xIndustry Avg. 18.6xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.5x) compared to the Global Industrial REITs industry average (18.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.5x
Fair PE Ratio31.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$50.08
US$58.06
+15.9%
8.9%US$64.00US$42.00n/a16
Dec ’25US$53.45
US$58.06
+8.6%
8.9%US$64.00US$42.00n/a16
Nov ’25US$52.72
US$58.13
+10.3%
8.9%US$64.00US$42.00n/a16
Oct ’25US$55.12
US$57.81
+4.9%
9.0%US$64.00US$42.00n/a16
Sep ’25US$56.73
US$57.56
+1.5%
8.9%US$64.00US$42.00n/a16
Aug ’25US$55.00
US$55.13
+0.2%
9.2%US$61.00US$42.00n/a15
Jul ’25US$47.13
US$53.07
+12.6%
9.9%US$62.00US$42.00n/a15
Jun ’25US$47.12
US$52.79
+12.0%
10.1%US$62.00US$42.00n/a14
May ’25US$46.02
US$53.36
+15.9%
10.3%US$62.00US$42.00n/a14
Apr ’25US$51.66
US$55.93
+8.3%
9.9%US$62.00US$42.00n/a14
Mar ’25US$53.15
US$56.14
+5.6%
10.6%US$63.00US$42.00n/a14
Feb ’25US$52.96
US$54.50
+2.9%
10.7%US$63.00US$42.00n/a14
Jan ’25US$52.67
US$51.64
-2.0%
12.1%US$63.00US$41.00n/a14
Dec ’24US$48.47
US$50.85
+4.9%
11.6%US$63.00US$41.00US$53.4513
Nov ’24US$42.94
US$51.62
+20.2%
13.5%US$65.00US$41.00US$52.7213
Oct ’24US$47.59
US$58.73
+23.4%
7.7%US$65.00US$47.00US$55.1211
Sep ’24US$52.29
US$58.73
+12.3%
7.7%US$65.00US$47.00US$56.7311
Aug ’24US$51.74
US$58.36
+12.8%
8.3%US$65.00US$46.00US$55.0011
Jul ’24US$52.64
US$59.50
+13.0%
7.5%US$66.00US$51.00US$47.1310
Jun ’24US$51.78
US$59.50
+14.9%
7.5%US$66.00US$51.00US$47.1210
May ’24US$51.90
US$59.40
+14.5%
7.3%US$65.00US$51.00US$46.0210
Apr ’24US$53.20
US$57.40
+7.9%
8.0%US$65.00US$48.00US$51.6610
Mar ’24US$52.46
US$58.90
+12.3%
5.1%US$65.00US$55.00US$53.1510
Feb ’24US$54.05
US$56.80
+5.1%
8.5%US$65.00US$49.00US$52.9610
Jan ’24US$48.26
US$55.90
+15.8%
9.4%US$65.00US$48.00US$52.6710
Dec ’23US$50.63
US$55.60
+9.8%
9.6%US$65.00US$48.00US$48.4710

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/30 03:45
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/30 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. is covered by 34 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nicholas ThillmanBaird
Anthony PowellBarclays
Brendan LynchBarclays