EastGroup Properties, Inc.

NYSE:EGP Stock Report

Market Cap: US$8.5b

EastGroup Properties Valuation

Is EGP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EGP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EGP ($171.98) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($321.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EGP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EGP?

Key metric: As EGP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EGP. This is calculated by dividing EGP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EGP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio36.5x
EarningsUS$232.57m
Market CapUS$8.50b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EGP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EGP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.9x
FR First Industrial Realty Trust
23.1x-6.1%US$7.3b
STAG STAG Industrial
37x1.3%US$6.7b
REXR Rexford Industrial Realty
35.2x12.4%US$9.7b
TRNO Terreno Realty
36.5x9.9%US$6.0b
EGP EastGroup Properties
36.5x10.0%US$8.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EGP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.5x) compared to the peer average (32.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EGP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Industrial REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EGP 36.5xIndustry Avg. 20.1xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EGP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.5x) compared to the Global Industrial REITs industry average (20.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EGP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EGP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio36.5x
Fair PE Ratio37.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EGP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EGP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$171.98
US$198.72
+15.5%
6.0%US$220.00US$174.00n/a18
Nov ’25US$171.20
US$199.22
+16.4%
5.9%US$220.00US$174.00n/a18
Oct ’25US$183.22
US$199.74
+9.0%
6.4%US$220.00US$169.00n/a19
Sep ’25US$186.40
US$197.79
+6.1%
7.1%US$220.00US$169.00n/a19
Aug ’25US$188.56
US$192.32
+2.0%
9.0%US$220.00US$158.00n/a19
Jul ’25US$169.51
US$181.84
+7.3%
9.0%US$218.00US$158.00n/a19
Jun ’25US$165.18
US$182.67
+10.6%
9.0%US$218.00US$158.00n/a18
May ’25US$156.86
US$184.22
+17.4%
8.8%US$218.00US$158.00n/a18
Apr ’25US$176.32
US$192.56
+9.2%
8.0%US$218.00US$158.00n/a16
Mar ’25US$179.00
US$194.00
+8.4%
7.8%US$218.00US$158.00n/a15
Feb ’25US$182.94
US$189.67
+3.7%
8.0%US$218.00US$158.00n/a15
Jan ’25US$183.54
US$185.73
+1.2%
8.8%US$218.00US$158.00n/a15
Dec ’24US$176.80
US$184.93
+4.6%
9.1%US$218.00US$158.00n/a15
Nov ’24US$166.41
US$185.13
+11.3%
9.1%US$218.00US$158.00US$171.2015
Oct ’24US$166.53
US$188.69
+13.3%
9.2%US$218.00US$158.00US$183.2213
Sep ’24US$179.34
US$188.46
+5.1%
9.1%US$218.00US$158.00US$186.4013
Aug ’24US$175.70
US$186.62
+6.2%
10.1%US$218.00US$158.00US$188.5613
Jul ’24US$173.60
US$179.15
+3.2%
7.8%US$198.00US$154.00US$169.5113
Jun ’24US$163.37
US$176.46
+8.0%
7.9%US$198.00US$154.00US$165.1813
May ’24US$163.03
US$175.38
+7.6%
8.2%US$198.00US$146.00US$156.8613
Apr ’24US$165.32
US$174.46
+5.5%
7.6%US$198.00US$156.00US$176.3213
Mar ’24US$161.49
US$173.93
+7.7%
7.7%US$198.00US$152.00US$179.0014
Feb ’24US$170.67
US$168.85
-1.1%
9.0%US$198.00US$149.00US$182.9413
Jan ’24US$148.06
US$167.92
+13.4%
9.7%US$198.00US$144.00US$183.5413
Dec ’23US$154.89
US$167.92
+8.4%
9.7%US$198.00US$144.00US$176.8013
Nov ’23US$155.91
US$170.23
+9.2%
12.0%US$215.00US$140.00US$166.4113

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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