Stock Analysis

    A Look At Federal Realty Investment Trust's (NYSE:FRT) Share Price Returns

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    Federal Realty Investment Trust (NYSE:FRT) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 22% in the last month. But if you look at the last five years the returns have not been good. After all, the share price is down 38% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.

    See our latest analysis for Federal Realty Investment Trust

    While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

    Looking back five years, both Federal Realty Investment Trust's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 2.0% per year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 9% per year, over the period. This implies that the market was previously too optimistic about the stock.

    You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

    earnings-per-share-growth
    NYSE:FRT Earnings Per Share Growth November 19th 2020

    Dive deeper into Federal Realty Investment Trust's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Federal Realty Investment Trust's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

    What About Dividends?

    It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Federal Realty Investment Trust the TSR over the last 5 years was -27%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

    A Different Perspective

    While the broader market gained around 22% in the last year, Federal Realty Investment Trust shareholders lost 27% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 5% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Federal Realty Investment Trust (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

    Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

    Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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