Stock Analysis

How Broadstone Net Lease's (BNL) Raised AFFO Guidance and New Projects May Impact Investors

NYSE:BNL
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  • In late July 2025, Broadstone Net Lease reported second-quarter results, affirmed a quarterly dividend of US$0.29 per share, added three new build-to-suit development projects totaling about US$61.4 million, and raised its full-year AFFO guidance by 4.2% at the midpoint.
  • The company also reduced its clinical healthcare exposure to 2.4% of ABR and continues to pursue growth through a robust pipeline of ten build-to-suit projects expected to deliver new incremental ABR by the third quarter of 2026.
  • We'll now explore how the upward revision to full-year AFFO guidance could influence Broadstone Net Lease's investment outlook.

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Broadstone Net Lease Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in Broadstone Net Lease, you generally need confidence in its ability to deliver steady income and pursue disciplined growth, even as the REIT sector faces headwinds. The recent upward revision to full-year AFFO guidance is positive but does not materially alter the risk tied to sector-wide exposure to macroeconomic uncertainty and potential interest rate volatility, which remain central concerns for the near term.

Among the recent announcements, the addition of three new build-to-suit projects totaling about US$61.4 million stands out for its relevance to growth catalysts. With these commitments expected to generate new rental income by the third quarter of 2026, the company's active investment pipeline remains a focal point, reinforcing its pursuit of incremental revenue streams despite pressure on margins.

However, investors should remain mindful that as Broadstone continues to lean into growth initiatives, the influence of rising interest rates on its heavily financed expansion is one risk that...

Read the full narrative on Broadstone Net Lease (it's free!)

Broadstone Net Lease's outlook forecasts $514.5 million in revenue and $150.9 million in earnings by 2028. This implies a 5.7% annual revenue growth rate and a $37.9 million increase in earnings from the current $113.0 million.

Uncover how Broadstone Net Lease's forecasts yield a $18.67 fair value, a 11% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

BNL Community Fair Values as at Aug 2025
BNL Community Fair Values as at Aug 2025

Community members at Simply Wall St estimate Broadstone Net Lease's fair value between US$15.00 and US$35.23, reflecting three unique perspectives. With expansion projects as a key focus, you can compare these varying outlooks to how growth strategies could shape future cash flows.

Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Broadstone Net Lease - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

Build Your Own Broadstone Net Lease Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NYSE:BNL

Broadstone Net Lease

BNL is an industrial-focused, diversified net lease REIT that invests in primarily single-tenant commercial real estate properties that are net leased on a long-term basis to a diversified group of tenants.

Average dividend payer and fair value.

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