Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.

NYSE:BNL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.1b

Broadstone Net Lease Valuation

Is BNL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BNL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$33.54
Fair Value
53.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
9
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: BNL ($15.74) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($33.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BNL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BNL?

Key metric: As BNL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BNL. This is calculated by dividing BNL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BNL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21x
EarningsUS$141.51m
Market CapUS$3.11b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BNL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BNL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.9x
ESBA Empire State Realty OP
34.6xn/aUS$2.6b
ESRT Empire State Realty Trust
35.2x-18.2%US$2.6b
AAT American Assets Trust
25.4x-88.6%US$1.9b
EPRT Essential Properties Realty Trust
28.7x13.0%US$5.7b
BNL Broadstone Net Lease
21x-4.6%US$3.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BNL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x) compared to the peer average (30.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BNL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American REITs Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BNL 21.0xIndustry Avg. 16.4xNo. of Companies3PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BNL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x) compared to the Global REITs industry average (16.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BNL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BNL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21x
Fair PE Ratio29.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BNL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BNL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$15.74
US$18.67
+18.6%
11.3%US$22.00US$16.00n/a9
Jan ’26US$15.86
US$19.13
+20.6%
9.6%US$22.00US$16.00n/a8
Dec ’25US$17.51
US$19.25
+9.9%
10.0%US$22.00US$16.00n/a8
Nov ’25US$17.46
US$19.43
+11.3%
10.2%US$22.00US$16.00n/a7
Oct ’25US$18.66
US$19.14
+2.6%
9.8%US$22.00US$16.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$18.30
US$18.79
+2.7%
11.5%US$22.00US$14.50n/a7
Aug ’25US$17.32
US$17.92
+3.4%
13.1%US$22.00US$14.50n/a6
Jul ’25US$15.64
US$17.75
+13.5%
13.0%US$22.00US$14.50n/a6
Jun ’25US$15.35
US$17.67
+15.1%
13.7%US$22.00US$14.00n/a6
May ’25US$14.62
US$17.83
+22.0%
13.1%US$22.00US$14.00n/a6
Apr ’25US$15.47
US$18.29
+18.2%
12.3%US$22.00US$14.00n/a7
Mar ’25US$15.08
US$19.00
+26.0%
8.0%US$22.00US$17.00n/a6
Feb ’25US$16.46
US$19.50
+18.5%
6.5%US$22.00US$18.00US$15.746
Jan ’25US$17.22
US$18.83
+9.4%
8.9%US$22.00US$17.00US$15.866
Dec ’24US$16.44
US$18.67
+13.5%
10.1%US$22.00US$17.00US$17.516
Nov ’24US$14.09
US$18.83
+33.7%
9.4%US$22.00US$17.00US$17.466
Oct ’24US$14.30
US$19.60
+37.1%
6.9%US$22.00US$18.00US$18.665
Sep ’24US$16.22
US$19.60
+20.8%
6.9%US$22.00US$18.00US$18.305
Aug ’24US$16.61
US$19.80
+19.2%
5.9%US$22.00US$19.00US$17.325
Jul ’24US$15.44
US$20.00
+29.5%
6.3%US$22.00US$19.00US$15.645
Jun ’24US$15.64
US$20.20
+29.2%
5.8%US$22.00US$19.00US$15.355
May ’24US$16.16
US$20.40
+26.2%
5.0%US$22.00US$19.00US$14.625
Apr ’24US$17.01
US$20.40
+19.9%
5.0%US$22.00US$19.00US$15.475
Mar ’24US$17.70
US$20.40
+15.3%
5.0%US$22.00US$19.00US$15.085
Feb ’24US$18.04
US$20.75
+15.0%
5.9%US$22.50US$19.00US$16.466
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
US$18.67
Fair Value
15.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
9
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/31 17:49
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/31 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Broadstone Net Lease, Inc. is covered by 15 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John KimBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Michael GormanBTIG
James SullivanBTIG