Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.

NYSE:BNL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.9b

Broadstone Net Lease Valuation

Is BNL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BNL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BNL ($15.24) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($29.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BNL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BNL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BNL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue10.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA12.3x
PEG Ratio-1.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BNL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BNL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.8x
ESRT Empire State Realty Trust
31.7x-19.5%US$2.5b
ESBA Empire State Realty OP
30.7xn/aUS$2.5b
AAT American Assets Trust
24.5x-21.6%US$1.7b
EPRT Essential Properties Realty Trust
24.2x9.3%US$4.6b
BNL Broadstone Net Lease
15.9x-9.1%US$2.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BNL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the peer average (27.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BNL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-1.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-1.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BNL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the Global REITs industry average (14x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BNL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BNL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.9x
Fair PE Ratio25.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BNL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BNL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$15.24
US$17.83
+17.0%
13.1%US$22.00US$14.00n/a6
Apr ’25US$15.47
US$18.29
+18.2%
12.3%US$22.00US$14.00n/a7
Mar ’25US$15.08
US$19.00
+26.0%
8.0%US$22.00US$17.00n/a6
Feb ’25US$16.46
US$19.50
+18.5%
6.5%US$22.00US$18.00n/a6
Jan ’25US$17.22
US$18.83
+9.4%
8.9%US$22.00US$17.00n/a6
Dec ’24US$16.44
US$18.67
+13.5%
10.1%US$22.00US$17.00n/a6
Nov ’24US$14.09
US$18.83
+33.7%
9.4%US$22.00US$17.00n/a6
Oct ’24US$14.30
US$19.60
+37.1%
6.9%US$22.00US$18.00n/a5
Sep ’24US$16.22
US$19.60
+20.8%
6.9%US$22.00US$18.00n/a5
Aug ’24US$16.61
US$19.80
+19.2%
5.9%US$22.00US$19.00n/a5
Jul ’24US$15.44
US$20.00
+29.5%
6.3%US$22.00US$19.00n/a5
Jun ’24US$15.64
US$20.20
+29.2%
5.8%US$22.00US$19.00n/a5
May ’24US$16.16
US$20.40
+26.2%
5.0%US$22.00US$19.00US$14.625
Apr ’24US$17.01
US$20.40
+19.9%
5.0%US$22.00US$19.00US$15.475
Mar ’24US$17.70
US$20.40
+15.3%
5.0%US$22.00US$19.00US$15.085
Feb ’24US$18.04
US$20.75
+15.0%
5.9%US$22.50US$19.00US$16.466
Jan ’24US$16.21
US$21.25
+31.1%
6.6%US$23.00US$19.00US$17.226
Dec ’23US$17.02
US$21.92
+28.8%
9.0%US$25.00US$19.00US$16.446
Nov ’23US$17.27
US$21.92
+26.9%
9.0%US$25.00US$19.00US$14.096
Oct ’23US$15.53
US$23.00
+48.1%
10.0%US$25.00US$19.00US$14.306
Sep ’23US$18.82
US$23.83
+26.6%
6.1%US$25.00US$21.00US$16.226
Aug ’23US$22.37
US$23.67
+5.8%
6.8%US$25.00US$21.00US$16.616
Jul ’23US$21.17
US$24.57
+16.1%
4.3%US$25.00US$22.00US$15.447
May ’23US$20.69
US$25.25
+22.0%
2.6%US$27.00US$25.00US$16.168

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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