American Assets Trust, Inc.

NYSE:AAT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.1b

American Assets Trust Valuation

Is AAT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AAT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AAT ($27.67) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($25.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AAT is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AAT?

Key metric: As AAT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AAT. This is calculated by dividing AAT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AAT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.9x
EarningsUS$58.30m
Market CapUS$2.15b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AAT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AAT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.4x
ESBA Empire State Realty OP
39.4xn/aUS$2.9b
ESRT Empire State Realty Trust
39.7x-23.6%US$3.0b
BNL Broadstone Net Lease
22.7x-6.3%US$3.4b
ALEX Alexander & Baldwin
23.7x-11.3%US$1.4b
AAT American Assets Trust
28.9x-59.1%US$2.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AAT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.9x) compared to the peer average (31.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AAT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American REITs Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AAT 28.9xIndustry Avg. 16.1xNo. of Companies4PE01632486480+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AAT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.9x) compared to the Global REITs industry average (16.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AAT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AAT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.9x
Fair PE Ratio17.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AAT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AAT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$27.67
US$25.00
-9.6%
4.0%US$26.00US$24.00n/a2
Nov ’25US$26.64
US$25.00
-6.2%
4.0%US$26.00US$24.00n/a2
Oct ’25US$26.36
US$24.50
-7.1%
6.1%US$26.00US$23.00n/a2
Sep ’25US$27.25
US$22.00
-19.3%
17.0%US$26.00US$17.00n/a3
Aug ’25US$26.04
US$20.67
-20.6%
12.7%US$23.00US$17.00n/a3
Jul ’25US$22.40
US$20.67
-7.7%
12.7%US$23.00US$17.00n/a3
Jun ’25US$21.75
US$20.67
-5.0%
12.7%US$23.00US$17.00n/a3
May ’25US$21.45
US$20.67
-3.7%
12.7%US$23.00US$17.00n/a3
Apr ’25US$21.12
US$22.33
+5.7%
20.1%US$28.00US$17.00n/a3
Mar ’25US$21.59
US$22.33
+3.4%
20.1%US$28.00US$17.00n/a3
Feb ’25US$22.44
US$21.67
-3.4%
21.4%US$28.00US$17.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$22.51
US$21.67
-3.7%
21.4%US$28.00US$17.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$21.10
US$21.67
+2.7%
21.4%US$28.00US$17.00n/a3
Nov ’24US$17.97
US$22.00
+22.4%
20.7%US$28.00US$17.00US$26.643
Oct ’24US$19.45
US$22.00
+13.1%
20.7%US$28.00US$17.00US$26.363
Sep ’24US$21.54
US$22.33
+3.7%
20.1%US$28.00US$17.00US$27.253
Aug ’24US$22.20
US$22.33
+0.6%
20.1%US$28.00US$17.00US$26.043
Jul ’24US$19.20
US$21.33
+11.1%
22.4%US$28.00US$17.00US$22.403
Jun ’24US$18.82
US$21.33
+13.4%
22.4%US$28.00US$17.00US$21.753
May ’24US$17.97
US$26.00
+44.7%
16.6%US$30.00US$20.00US$21.453
Apr ’24US$18.59
US$26.00
+39.9%
16.6%US$30.00US$20.00US$21.123
Mar ’24US$25.09
US$28.67
+14.3%
3.3%US$30.00US$28.00US$21.593
Feb ’24US$28.97
US$28.67
-1.0%
3.3%US$30.00US$28.00US$22.443
Jan ’24US$26.50
US$28.67
+8.2%
3.3%US$30.00US$28.00US$22.513
Dec ’23US$28.40
US$28.67
+0.9%
3.3%US$30.00US$28.00US$21.103
Nov ’23US$28.01
US$30.33
+8.3%
6.8%US$33.00US$28.00US$17.973

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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