Stock Analysis

DigitalBridge Group's (NYSE:DBRG) Performance Raises Some Questions

NYSE:DBRG
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The latest earnings release from DigitalBridge Group, Inc. (NYSE:DBRG ) disappointed investors. We did some digging and found some underlying numbers that are worrying.

See our latest analysis for DigitalBridge Group

earnings-and-revenue-history
NYSE:DBRG Earnings and Revenue History May 10th 2024

In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. In fact, DigitalBridge Group increased the number of shares on issue by 6.5% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. You can see a chart of DigitalBridge Group's EPS by clicking here.

How Is Dilution Impacting DigitalBridge Group's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

Unfortunately, we don't have any visibility into its profits three years back, because we lack the data. On the bright side, in the last twelve months it grew profit by 167%. But EPS was less impressive, up only 164% in that time. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So DigitalBridge Group shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Alongside that dilution, it's also important to note that DigitalBridge Group's profit was boosted by unusual items worth US$278m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. DigitalBridge Group had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to March 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On DigitalBridge Group's Profit Performance

To sum it all up, DigitalBridge Group got a nice boost to profit from unusual items; without that, its statutory results would have looked worse. And furthermore, it went and issued plenty of new shares, ensuring that each shareholder (who did not tip more money in) now owns a smaller proportion of the company. Considering all this we'd argue DigitalBridge Group's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, DigitalBridge Group has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.