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Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For KE Holdings Inc.'s (NYSE:BEKE) Shares
It's not a stretch to say that KE Holdings Inc.'s (NYSE:BEKE) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Real Estate industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
View our latest analysis for KE Holdings
How KE Holdings Has Been Performing
Recent times have been advantageous for KE Holdings as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think KE Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For KE Holdings?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like KE Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 28% gain to the company's top line. Revenue has also lifted 10% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 7.7% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 11% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it interesting that KE Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What Does KE Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Given that KE Holdings' revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for KE Holdings that you need to be mindful of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if KE Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:BEKE
KE Holdings
Through its subsidiaries, engages in operating an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services in the People's Republic of China.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.