Buy Or Sell Opportunity • 1h
Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 3.8% to US$15.52. The fair value is estimated to be US$19.48, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 13% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 5.7%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 3.8% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 20% per annum over the same time period. Live News • Jun 14
KE Holdings Share Buybacks Draw Interest as Stock Moves Above 5-Day Average KE Holdings has executed multiple share repurchases in April and May 2026 across both the Hong Kong and New York listings under its authorized buyback program.
Each repurchase period has been followed by a moratorium on new share issuances or sales of treasury stock, in line with regulatory requirements.
Following these consecutive buybacks, the stock rose over 2% and moved above its 5-day moving average, which has drawn more short-term trading interest.
The key takeaway is that consistent buyback activity and a tighter supply of shares can support trading sentiment, especially when the price moves above a short-term moving average that many traders watch.
If you are following BEKE, it is worth paying attention to how long the company keeps up this pace of repurchases and whether trading volumes stay elevated alongside the recent price reaction. Live News • Jun 06
KE Holdings Delivers Q1 Beat and Expands Buybacks as Analyst Targets Move Higher KE Holdings reported first quarter revenue and adjusted EPS above consensus expectations, supported by improved organizational efficiency and AI-enabled capabilities.
The company expanded its share repurchase program by 40%, indicating a larger capital allocation to buybacks.
Barclays and Bank of America both raised their price targets on KE Holdings, citing a higher earnings outlook after the earnings release.
Stronger-than-expected Q1 results, combined with a larger buyback program, suggest management confidence in the business and its ability to generate cash to return to shareholders.
Analyst target increases indicate a more optimistic earnings view, but you should still weigh this against your own assessment of KE Holdings’ exposure to the real estate market and any potential swings in housing activity. Major Estimate Revision • May 26
Consensus EPS estimates increase by 29% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 EPS estimate increased from CN¥4.13 to CN¥5.34. Revenue forecast steady at CN¥89.7b. Net income forecast to grow 86% next year vs 60% growth forecast for Real Estate industry in the US. Consensus price target up from US$20.92 to US$22.73. Share price fell 12% to US$16.40 over the past week. Announcement • May 07
KE Holdings Inc. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 19, 2026 KE Holdings Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results at 9:30 AM, US Eastern Standard Time on May 19, 2026 Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 06
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17% After last week's 17% share price gain to US$18.79, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 33x. Average forward P/E is 16x in the Real Estate industry in the US. Total returns to shareholders of 25% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at US$14.36 per share. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 29
Now 21% overvalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 17% to US$16.00. The fair value is estimated to be US$13.26, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 16% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 2.4% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 19% per annum over the same time period. Reported Earnings • Apr 27
Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations Full year 2025 results: EPS: CN¥2.70 (down from CN¥3.58 in FY 2024). Revenue: CN¥94.6b (up 1.2% from FY 2024). Net income: CN¥2.99b (down 26% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 3.2% (down from 4.3% in FY 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 1.8%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 8.4%. Revenue is forecast to grow 2.4% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.5% growth forecast for the Real Estate industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 14% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 1% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Announcement • Apr 25
KE Holdings Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 12, 2026 KE Holdings Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 12, 2026, at 15:00 China Standard Time. Location: no. 2 chuangye road, haidian district, beijing China Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 14
Now 22% overvalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 4.7% to US$16.50. The fair value is estimated to be US$13.51, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 16% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 2.4% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 19% per annum over the same time period. Upcoming Dividend • Apr 01
Upcoming dividend of US$0.23 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 08 April 2026. Payment date: 24 April 2026. Payout ratio is a comfortable 71% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 1.9%. Lower than top quartile of American dividend payers (4.4%). Lower than average of industry peers (2.2%). Announcement • Mar 23
KE Holdings Inc.(NYSE:BEKE) dropped from FTSE All-World Index (USD) KE Holdings Inc.(NYSE:BEKE) dropped from FTSE All-World Index (USD) New Risk • Mar 23
New major risk - Earnings quality The company has a high level of non-cash earnings. Accrual ratio: 20% This is considered a major risk. Non-cash earnings can arise from many different things. However, if a company consistently has a high level of non-cash earnings, it may be a sign that they are recognizing revenue from customers before the full value of the sales are received as cash or they are not depreciating the value of their assets appropriately. These are practices that inflate earnings, while not providing a similar increase to cash flows. Companies in some select industries naturally have a high level of non-cash earnings and it is not a major concern. However, in the worst case scenario it can be an early sign of performance manipulation by management. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk High level of non-cash earnings (20% accrual ratio). Minor Risk Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Declared Dividend • Mar 18
Dividend of US$0.28 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.28. Ex-date: 8th April 2026 Payment date: 24th April 2026 Dividend yield will be 1.7%, which is lower than the industry average of 3.2%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by earnings (71% earnings payout ratio) but the company has no free cash flows available, indicating it may be using cash reserves or debt to pay the dividend. The dividend has decreased over the past 26 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to grow by 95% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover. Reported Earnings • Mar 16
Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations Full year 2025 results: EPS: CN¥2.70 (down from CN¥3.58 in FY 2024). Revenue: CN¥94.6b (up 1.2% from FY 2024). Net income: CN¥2.99b (down 26% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 3.2% (down from 4.3% in FY 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 1.8%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 8.4%. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.1% growth forecast for the Real Estate industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 14% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 3% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Announcement • Mar 16
KE Holdings Inc. Announces A Final Cash Dividend on Ordinary Shares and ADS, Payable on or Around April 21, 2026 for Ordinary Shares and on or Around April 24, 2026 of ADS Respectively KE Holdings Inc. announced that its board of directors approved a final cash dividend of USD 0.092 per ordinary share, or USD 0.276 per ADS, to holders of ordinary shares and holders of ADSs of record as of the close of business on April 8, 2026, Beijing/Hong Kong Time and New York Time, respectively, payable in U.S. dollars. The aggregate amount of the Dividend to be paid will be approximately USD 0.3 billion, which will be funded by cash surplus on the Company’s balance sheet. For holders of ordinary shares, in order to qualify for the Dividend, all valid documents for the transfer of shares accompanied by the relevant share certificates must be lodged for registration with the Company’s Hong Kong branch share registrar, Computershare Hong Kong Investor Services Limited, at Shops 1712-1716, 17th Floor, Hopewell Centre, 183 Queen’s Road East, Wanchai, Hong Kong no later than 4:30 p.m. on April 8, 2026 (Beijing/Hong Kong Time). Dividend to be paid to the Company’s ADS holders through the depositary bank will be subject to the terms of the deposit agreement. The payment date is expected to be on or around April 21, 2026 for holders of ordinary shares and on or around April 24, 2026 for holders of ADSs. Announcement • Mar 05
KE Holdings Inc. to Report Q4, 2025 Results on Mar 16, 2026 KE Holdings Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2025 results Pre-Market on Mar 16, 2026 Announcement • Nov 22
Robbins Geller Rudman & Dowd LLP Announces Proposed Settlement in the KE Holdings Securities Litigation Robbins Geller Rudman & Dowd LLP issued statement regarding the KE Holdings Securities Litigation. Pursuant to Rule 23 of the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure and an Order of the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York, that Court-appointed Lead Plaintiff Saskatchewan Healthcare Employees’ Pension Plan, on behalf of itself and all members of the proposed Settlement Class, and KE Holdings and Colleen A. De Vries (the “KE Holdings Defendants”), and Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C., Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC, J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC, and China Renaissance Securities (US) Inc. (the “Underwriter Defendants” and, together with the KE Holdings Defendants, “Defendants”), have reached a proposed settlement of the claims in the above-captioned class action (the “Action”) in the amount of $4,950,000 (the “Settlement”). A hearing will be held before the Honorable Gregory H. Woods on February 27, 2026, at 10:00 a.m., in Courtroom 12C of the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York, Daniel Patrick Moynihan United States Courthouse, 500 Pearl Street, New York, NY 10007 (the “Settlement Hearing”) to determine whether the Court should: approve the proposed Settlement as fair, reasonable, and adequate; dismiss the Action with prejudice as provided in the Stipulation of Settlement, dated September 8, 2025; approve the proposed Plan of Allocation for distribution of the proceeds of the Settlement (the “Net Settlement Fund”) to Settlement Class Members; and approve Lead Counsel’s Fee and Expense Application. The Court may change the date of the Settlement Hearing without providing another notice. Any objections to the proposed Settlement, Lead Counsel’s Fee and Expense Application, and/or the proposed Plan of Allocation must be filed with the Court, either by mail or in person, and be mailed to counsel for the Parties in accordance with the instructions in the Notice, such that they are received no later than February 6, 2026. New Risk • Nov 11
New minor risk - Profit margin trend The company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 3.4% Last year net profit margin: 5.0% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (159% cash payout ratio). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (3.4% net profit margin). Reported Earnings • Nov 11
Third quarter 2025 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: CN¥0.68 (down from CN¥1.04 in 3Q 2024). Revenue: CN¥23.1b (up 2.1% from 3Q 2024). Net income: CN¥749.3m (down 36% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 3.3% (down from 5.2% in 3Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) surpassed analyst estimates by 20%. Revenue is forecast to grow 5.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Real Estate industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 38% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 3% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Announcement • Nov 11
KE Holdings Inc. Announces Unaudited Impairment of Goodwill, Intangible Assets and Other Long-Lived Assets for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2025 KE Holdings Inc. announced unaudited Impairment of goodwill, intangible assets and other long-lived assets for the three months ended September 30, 2025. For the quarter, the company reported impairment of goodwill, intangible assets and other long-lived assets of USD 11,873,000. Major Estimate Revision • Nov 07
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from CN¥101.8b to CN¥100.1b. EPS estimate also fell from CN¥3.93 per share to CN¥3.42 per share. Net income forecast to grow 32% next year vs 39% growth forecast for Real Estate industry in the US. Consensus price target down from US$22.89 to US$22.22. Share price fell 8.5% to US$15.60 over the past week. Announcement • Oct 28
KE Holdings Inc. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Nov 10, 2025 KE Holdings Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results Pre-Market on Nov 10, 2025 New Risk • Aug 27
New minor risk - Dividend sustainability The dividend is not well covered by cash flows. Cash payout ratio: 94% Dividend yield: 2.0% This is considered a minor risk. Dividends are ultimately paid out of the company's available cash reserves. Companies that pay out too much of their cash flow are at risk of having to reduce or cut their dividend in future. If cash flow growth slows or cash flows fall, then there may not be enough cash reserves to maintain the same dividend. Or in extreme cases, companies may opt to take on debt to maintain the dividend. This risk is mitigated by the fact the dividend is covered by earnings, however, cash flows are generally more important. For dividend paying companies, any reduction in the dividend can significantly impact the share price. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company. Reported Earnings • Aug 26
Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations Second quarter 2025 results: EPS: CN¥1.16 (down from CN¥1.67 in 2Q 2024). Revenue: CN¥26.0b (up 11% from 2Q 2024). Net income: CN¥1.30b (down 31% from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 5.0% (down from 8.1% in 2Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) surpassed analyst estimates by 13%. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 10% growth forecast for the Real Estate industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 63% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 1% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Announcement • Aug 14
KE Holdings Inc. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Aug 26, 2025 KE Holdings Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results Pre-Market on Aug 26, 2025 Announcement • Apr 30
KE Holdings Inc. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on May 15, 2025 KE Holdings Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results on May 15, 2025 Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 24
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16% After last week's 16% share price gain to US$22.08, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 32x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Real Estate industry in the US. Total returns to shareholders of 74% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at US$31.96 per share. Reported Earnings • Apr 19
Full year 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind Full year 2024 results: EPS: CN¥3.58 (down from CN¥5.01 in FY 2023). Revenue: CN¥93.5b (up 20% from FY 2023). Net income: CN¥4.06b (down 31% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 4.3% (down from 7.6% in FY 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 17%. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 10% growth forecast for the Real Estate industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 83% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 16% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Announcement • Apr 17
KE Holdings Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 13, 2025 KE Holdings Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 13, 2025, at 10:00 China Standard Time. Location: no. 2 chuangye road, haidian district, beijing China Upcoming Dividend • Apr 03
Upcoming dividend of US$0.31 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 09 April 2025. Payment date: 25 April 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 73% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.7%. Lower than top quartile of American dividend payers (4.6%). Lower than average of industry peers (2.3%). Major Estimate Revision • Mar 25
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 15%, revenue upgraded The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast increased from CN¥102.3b to CN¥105.6b. EPS estimate fell from CN¥5.91 to CN¥5.02 per share. Net income forecast to grow 43% next year vs 41% growth forecast for Real Estate industry in the US. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$25.63. Share price fell 12% to US$20.38 over the past week. Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Mar 21
Executive Vice Chairman notifies of intention to sell stock Wangang Xu intends to sell 1m shares in the next 90 days after lodging an Intent To Sell Form on the 20th of March. If the sale is conducted around the recent share price of US$22.45, it would amount to US$22m. Since June 2024, Wangang's direct individual holding has increased from 4.31m shares to 4.81m. Company insiders have collectively sold US$16m more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months. Announcement • Mar 20
KE Holdings Inc. announces Annual dividend, payable on April 25, 2025 KE Holdings Inc. announced Annual dividend of USD 0.3600 per share payable on April 25, 2025, ex-date on April 09, 2025 and record date on April 09, 2025. Declared Dividend • Mar 20
Dividend of US$0.36 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.36. Ex-date: 9th April 2025 Payment date: 22nd April 2025 Dividend yield will be 1.7%, which is lower than the industry average of 3.2%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (73% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (33% cash payout ratio). The company is yet to establish a track record of dividend growth or stability as it hasn't paid a regular dividend for at least 2 years. EPS is expected to grow by 117% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover. Reported Earnings • Mar 18
Full year 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind Full year 2024 results: EPS: CN¥3.58 (down from CN¥5.01 in FY 2023). Revenue: CN¥93.5b (up 20% from FY 2023). Net income: CN¥4.06b (down 31% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 4.3% (down from 7.6% in FY 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 17%. Revenue is forecast to grow 8.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 10% growth forecast for the Real Estate industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 83% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 21% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Announcement • Mar 18
KE Holdings Inc. Reports Impairment Charges for the Fourth Quarter Ended December 31, 2024 KE Holdings Inc. reported impairment charges for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2024. For the quarter, the company reported impairment of goodwill, intangible assets and other long-lived assets of RMB 738,683,000 against RMB 533,620,000 a year ago. Announcement • Mar 05
KE Holdings Inc. to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Mar 18, 2025 KE Holdings Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2024 results Pre-Market on Mar 18, 2025 Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 10
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15% After last week's 15% share price gain to US$19.01, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 26x. Average forward P/E is 18x in the Real Estate industry in the US. Total loss to shareholders of 1.4% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at US$27.91 per share. Recent Insider Transactions • Dec 16
CFO & Executive Director recently sold US$1.4m worth of stock On the 10th of December, Tao Xu sold around 200k shares on-market at roughly US$7.18 per share. This transaction amounted to 23% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. In the last 3 months, they made an even bigger sale worth US$5.9m. Tao has been a net seller over the last 12 months, reducing personal holdings by US$17m. Major Estimate Revision • Nov 29
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 15%, revenue upgraded The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 revenue forecast increased from CN¥87.1b to CN¥91.3b. EPS estimate fell from CN¥5.24 to CN¥4.43 per share. Net income forecast to grow 55% next year vs 58% growth forecast for Real Estate industry in the US. Consensus price target up from US$23.39 to US$25.33. Share price fell 2.0% to US$19.01 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Nov 22
Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥1.04 (up from CN¥0.99 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥22.6b (up 27% from 3Q 2023). Net income: CN¥1.17b (up 1.1% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 5.2% (down from 6.5% in 3Q 2023). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 3.3%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 12%. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Real Estate industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 79% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 3% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 14
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18% After last week's 18% share price decline to US$19.36, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 24x. Average forward P/E is 8x in the Real Estate industry in the US. Total loss to shareholders of 12% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at US$29.04 per share. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Nov 08
Now 28% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 50% to US$20.99. The fair value is estimated to be US$29.35, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 2.9% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 63%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 11% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 20% per annum over the same time period. Announcement • Nov 08
KE Holdings Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 21, 2024 KE Holdings Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results Pre-Market on Nov 21, 2024 Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 10
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16% After last week's 16% share price decline to US$21.56, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 27x. Average forward P/E is 8x in the Real Estate industry in the US. Total returns to shareholders of 6.5% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at US$30.33 per share. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Oct 07
Now 21% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 60% to US$24.29. The fair value is estimated to be US$30.70, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 2.9% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 63%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 10% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 20% per annum over the same time period. New Risk • Oct 02
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of American stocks, typically moving 10% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Short dividend paying track record (1 year of continuous dividend payments). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (10% average weekly change). Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 23
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16% After last week's 16% share price gain to US$15.45, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 19x. Average forward P/E is 17x in the Real Estate industry in the US. Total loss to shareholders of 9.5% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at US$28.93 per share. Major Estimate Revision • Aug 20
Consensus EPS estimates increase by 42% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2024 has improved. 2024 revenue forecast increased from CN¥85.0b to CN¥86.7b. EPS estimate increased from CN¥3.61 to CN¥5.11 per share. Net income forecast to grow 52% next year vs 45% growth forecast for Real Estate industry in the US. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$21.22. Share price was steady at US$14.61 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Aug 13
Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥1.67 (up from CN¥1.10 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥23.4b (up 20% from 2Q 2023). Net income: CN¥1.89b (up 45% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 8.1% (up from 6.7% in 2Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 5.7%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 102%. Revenue is forecast to grow 10% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Real Estate industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 63% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 8% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Announcement • Aug 13
KE Holdings Inc. Reports Impairment Charges for the Second Quarter Ended June 30, 2024 KE Holdings Inc. reported impairment charges for the second quarter ended June 30, 2024. For the quarter, the company reported impairment of goodwill, intangible assets and other long-lived assets of RMB 36,397,000 against RMB 32,775,000 a year ago. Announcement • Jul 31
KE Holdings Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 12, 2024 KE Holdings Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results Pre-Market on Aug 12, 2024 New Risk • Jun 13
New minor risk - Insider selling There has been significant insider selling in the company's shares over the past 3 months. Total value of shares sold: US$5.9m This is considered a minor risk. There are several reasons why an insider may be selling, including to cover a tax obligation or pay for some other expense. However, we generally consider it a negative if insiders have been selling, especially if they do so below the current price. It implies that they considered a lower price to be reasonable. This is a weak signal, but if there is a pattern of unexplained selling, it can be a sign the insider believes the company's stock is overpriced. Note: We only include open market transactions and private dispositions of directly owned stock by individuals, not by corporations or trusts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (176% cash payout ratio). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Significant insider selling over the past 3 months (US$5.9m sold). Major Estimate Revision • May 30
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 19%, revenue upgraded The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 revenue forecast increased from CN¥83.0b to CN¥85.1b. EPS estimate fell from CN¥4.69 to CN¥3.78 per share. Net income forecast to grow 45% next year vs 32% growth forecast for Real Estate industry in the US. Consensus price target up from US$20.80 to US$21.33. Share price was steady at US$17.09 over the past week. New Risk • May 24
New minor risk - Earnings quality The company has large one-off items impacting its financial results. One-off items were 21% of the size of the rest of the company's trailing 12-month earnings before tax. This is considered a minor risk. One-off items are incomes or expenses that the company does not expect to repeat in future periods. Examples include profits from the sale of a business or expenses from a restructuring or legal settlements. If the company's reported statutory earnings include a large proportion of one-off items it means they may be an unreliable indicator of its true business performance as the earnings were skewed by these incomes or expenses. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (177% cash payout ratio). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Announcement • May 12
KE Holdings Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 23, 2024 KE Holdings Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results Pre-Market on May 23, 2024 Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 03
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 22% After last week's 22% share price gain to US$16.84, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 26x. Average forward P/E is 8x in the Real Estate industry in the US. Total loss to shareholders of 65% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at US$25.39 per share.