The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited (NYSE:TEVA) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Teva Pharmaceutical Industries
What Is Teva Pharmaceutical Industries's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries had US$20.7b of debt at June 2023, down from US$22.1b a year prior. On the flip side, it has US$2.67b in cash leading to net debt of about US$18.0b.
How Strong Is Teva Pharmaceutical Industries' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries had liabilities of US$11.8b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$23.5b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$2.67b as well as receivables valued at US$3.54b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$29.2b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the US$10.5b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.9 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 2.7 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Another concern for investors might be that Teva Pharmaceutical Industries's EBIT fell 16% in the last year. If things keep going like that, handling the debt will about as easy as bundling an angry house cat into its travel box. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Teva Pharmaceutical Industries's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries reported free cash flow worth 18% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
Our View
To be frank both Teva Pharmaceutical Industries's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And even its interest cover fails to inspire much confidence. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Teva Pharmaceutical Industries has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. Even though Teva Pharmaceutical Industries lost money on the bottom line, its positive EBIT suggests the business itself has potential. So you might want to check out how earnings have been trending over the last few years.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:TEVA
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries
Develops, manufactures, markets, and distributes generic medicines, specialty medicines, and biopharmaceutical products in North America, Europe, Israel, and internationally.
Very undervalued with reasonable growth potential.